TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbae8…662bbacked Over55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd1…f173backed Over55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under47c1,481$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.987647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb562…6663backed Under45c1,451$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f4…13f1backed Under45c1,451$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cd…64efbacked Under45c1,257$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee6f…b617backed Under45c1,257$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd041…cc74backed Under45c1,160$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfac7…6122backed Under45c1,160$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac2…f47cbacked Over61c1,140$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.413145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under39c746.59$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c631.71$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c546.17$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.471,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under40c423.11$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.872,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over53c338.19$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.241,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c320.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.691,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over62c315.7$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Under41c299.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.982835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under42c298.11$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6329344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c288$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over58c240.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.416956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over53c170.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1324949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over65c150.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.98540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c146.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c132.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under44c124.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c114.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.441,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c112.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c109.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c102.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.511,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over53c99.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under45c98.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over57c92.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.124238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under45c90.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.871662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4859…b08ebacked Over58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.744852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…3a13backed Over54c80.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…40adbacked Over55c79.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over57c77.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.426746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Over55c64.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…f13abacked Over55c63.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d22…a206backed Over55c62.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.55850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f6…6152backed Over55c55.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over51c52.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c51.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.732,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc5…1ea2backed Under45c49.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Under37c49.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.933933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…9483backed Over55c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b0d…1f81backed Under45c48.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x080f…d201backed Over55c47.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.28850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ae6…7ab8backed Over55c46.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over57c45.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8316953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe282…4681backed Over55c44.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c2…594cbacked Over55c44.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over58c43.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.33,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c39.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc535…c4d6backed Over55c39.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over60c39.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4220558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…5ae8backed Over55c37.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+84.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x563d…94cabacked Over55c35.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe933…0abcbacked Over55c34.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a0…7310backed Under45c32.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over60c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5221952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8eebbacked Over55c32.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…061cbacked Over55c31.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over56c31.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over56c31.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over56c31.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over56c31.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3811346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over56c31.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3815252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1bd…35a1backed Over55c30.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over65c30.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.583863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…df55backed Under45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9c…b10bbacked Under45c29.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd196…6d5dbacked Under45c29.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf00d…e9b0backed Under45c29.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.371040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4426…ea88backed Under45c29.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Over53c29.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4140546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2768…6bc6backed Under45c28.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.421154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ff…55f2backed Over56c27.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Over63c27.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2521646.3%100 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5e…bc03backed Over55c27.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.021428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e35…ff5abacked Under45c27.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over56c26.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcc…806ebacked Over55c26.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over56c26.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb4b…fd62backed Over55c26.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.331145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f5…cd2fbacked Under45c25.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c25.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40aa…b99bbacked Under45c24.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over45c23.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over45c23.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7629849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe96a…f53bbacked Under45c23.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e37…ac4abacked Under45c22.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed Over61c21.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.025742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over58c18.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7353349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.