NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb16fe5b3db23336a64193f4724af38294775bf17f79bf2d513a3093c77d9933a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $602,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $656,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Pacers | 3c | 32,750$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.84 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Pacers | 2c | 16,148$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.31 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers | 5c | 14,294$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.89 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 4c | 10,970$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.1 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Pacers | 13c | 10,327$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.48 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Pacers | 1c | 9,998$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers | 0c | 9,040$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers | 13c | 8,147$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.1 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Pacers | 14c | 7,436$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.92 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Pacers | 14c | 7,387$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.21 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Pacers | 14c | 6,984$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 9c | 6,910$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.02 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8ef3backed Pacers | 6c | 6,302$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.98 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pacers | 13c | 5,383$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.73 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Pacers | 3c | 5,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 14c | 4,884$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 8c | 4,660$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.59 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Pacers | 13c | 4,618$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.3 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers | 13c | 4,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers | 13c | 4,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers | 13c | 4,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.98 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pacers | 14c | 4,322$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.65 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Pacers | 14c | 4,158$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Pacers | 14c | 4,140$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 7c | 4,019$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pacers | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 14c | 3,300$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…3ae6backed Pacers | 9c | 3,218$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…7c38backed Pacers | 4c | 3,151$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…d09abacked Pacers | 14c | 3,018$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Pacers | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Pacers | 6c | 2,883$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pacers | 5c | 2,433$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Pacers | 14c | 2,240$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…1cf1backed Pacers | 13c | 2,195$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Pacers | 8c | 2,194$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba6…e199backed Pacers | 13c | 2,194$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…a951backed Pacers | 13c | 2,171$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…3962backed Pacers | 13c | 2,131$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Pacers | 9c | 2,083$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Pacers | 14c | 2,032$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.52 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Pacers | 9c | 2,005$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Pacers | 12c | 2,002$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3042…b5a1backed Pacers | 14c | 1,957$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.92 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers | 1c | 1,907$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Pacers | 5c | 1,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Pacers | 7c | 1,754$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…36aabacked Pacers | 14c | 1,739$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…44fbbacked Pacers | 14c | 1,567$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Pacers | 14c | 1,497$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Pacers | 3c | 1,441$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pacers | 7c | 1,234$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Pacers | 4c | 1,212$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…238fbacked Pacers | 7c | 1,130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Pacers | 11c | 1,049$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Pacers | 14c | 1,016$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…f43ebacked Pacers | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Pacers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Pacers | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed Pacers | 14c | 999.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Pacers | 14c | 995.82$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…b4d4backed Pacers | 8c | 944.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Pacers | 8c | 924.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 6c | 907.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Pacers | 13c | 799.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…e51fbacked Pacers | 14c | 778.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…deeebacked Pacers | 14c | 758.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Pacers | 8c | 705.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Pacers | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Pacers | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Pacers | 8c | 667.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…6e14backed Pacers | 3c | 636.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 5c | 598.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Pacers | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 189 | 30.7%58 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…4ef8backed Pacers | 14c | 584.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Pacers | 14c | 553.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 609 | 44.8%273 W · 336 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pacers | 13c | 550$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Pacers | 15c | 535.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Pacers | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 539 | 39.5%213 W · 326 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Pacers | 14c | 497.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…075ebacked Pacers | 14c | 495.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Pacers | 13c | 494.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…6591backed Pacers | 14c | 493.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Pacers | 14c | 487$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed Pacers | 4c | 483.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 270 | 28.5%77 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…a059backed Pacers | 8c | 482.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…5944backed Pacers | 14c | 478.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…c394backed Pacers | 14c | 474.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…1e75backed Pacers | 14c | 474.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Pacers | 14c | 474.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Pacers | 14c | 474.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…da21backed Pacers | 14c | 464.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…cc95backed Pacers | 14c | 462.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Pacers | 14c | 455.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Pacers | 16c | 443.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacers | 5c | 433.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pacers | 4c | 408.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…1e0cbacked Pacers | 4c | 400.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…8128backed Pacers | 14c | 400.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Pacers | 12c | 388.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pacersthis page
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kobe Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Mike Conley: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-19.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.