TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$602,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$656,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x489d…f6e3backed Pacers3c32,750$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.8442645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Pacers2c16,148$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.311417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers5c14,294$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.8966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers4c10,970$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.13,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pacers13c10,327$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.4820744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Pacers1c9,998$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.987115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c9,040$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.728820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers13c8,147$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.127424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Pacers14c7,436$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.9221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Pacers14c7,387$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.2124045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Pacers14c6,984$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.76728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers9c6,910$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.021,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b3…8ef3backed Pacers6c6,302$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.982010%2 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers13c5,383$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.731,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Pacers3c5,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers14c4,884$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.81,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers8c4,660$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.592,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers13c4,618$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.31,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers13c4,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers13c4,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers13c4,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers14c4,322$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.6547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Pacers14c4,158$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.083732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Pacers14c4,140$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.532147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers7c4,019$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.421,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pacers13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers14c3,300$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.992,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc9…3ae6backed Pacers9c3,218$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x065c…7c38backed Pacers4c3,151$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.83110%0 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x356a…d09abacked Pacers14c3,018$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.511060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Pacers6c2,883$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9612541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pacers5c2,433$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7736023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Pacers14c2,240$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.62556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0968…1cf1backed Pacers13c2,195$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Pacers8c2,194$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.555234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba6…e199backed Pacers13c2,194$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.181040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7485…a951backed Pacers13c2,171$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc493…3962backed Pacers13c2,131$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Pacers9c2,083$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2913560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Pacers14c2,032$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5211235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Pacers9c2,005$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4420537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Pacers12c2,002$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.115064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3042…b5a1backed Pacers14c1,957$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.924240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers1c1,907$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.27211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Pacers5c1,886$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.317944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Pacers7c1,754$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.756817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb2…36aabacked Pacers14c1,739$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb02…44fbbacked Pacers14c1,567$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Pacers14c1,497$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.62520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Pacers3c1,441$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.412748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Pacers7c1,234$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3516959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Pacers4c1,212$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.164214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91ce…238fbacked Pacers7c1,130$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.082119%4 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Pacers11c1,049$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7122836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Pacers14c1,016$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.265347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef24…f43ebacked Pacers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Pacers13c999.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Pacers14c999.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.993030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Pacers14c995.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.415330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Pacers8c944.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.585054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Pacers8c924.62$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7418632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers6c907.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.471,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Pacers13c799.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10423435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe4…e51fbacked Pacers14c778.64$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.012450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c6f…deeebacked Pacers14c758.72$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.222941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Pacers8c705.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7824937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Pacers14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8413932.4%45 W · 94 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Pacers14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8433837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Pacers8c667.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.446023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98f2…6e14backed Pacers3c636.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers5c598.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Pacers8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2418930.7%58 W · 131 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ffe…4ef8backed Pacers14c584.21$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.792352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Pacers14c553.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1960944.8%273 W · 336 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pacers13c550$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.525236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pacers15c535.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4815140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Pacers14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7053939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Pacers14c497.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6612240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3773…075ebacked Pacers14c495.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.432142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pacers13c494.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3314244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…6591backed Pacers14c493.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.046328.6%18 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Pacers14c487$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.189628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed Pacers4c483.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8527028.5%77 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…a059backed Pacers8c482.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fb…5944backed Pacers14c478.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.97812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-80.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c90…c394backed Pacers14c474.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.395724.6%14 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f7…1e75backed Pacers14c474.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.392227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Pacers14c474.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3938432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Pacers14c474.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3918534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6527…da21backed Pacers14c464.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.061855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17fa…cc95backed Pacers14c462.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-83.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x429b…0688backed Pacers14c455.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.783450%17 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Pacers16c443.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.228050%40 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers5c433.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.691,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pacers4c408.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf3…1e0cbacked Pacers4c400.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-87.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x314d…8128backed Pacers14c400.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Pacers12c388.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6760549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.