NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6ce529e4eec048bfeb2b6fb2874085ff5fac5f54989970858e17719a236e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $535,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 376,093$198,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,825.57 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 48c | 160,248$76,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,420.32 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pacers | 47c | 80,915$37,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,695.88 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 47c | 29,052$13,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,751.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 40c | 26,392$10,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,652.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 48c | 25,903$12,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,433.48 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pacers | 46c | 24,241$11,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,160.44 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 55c | 17,586$9,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.14 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 11,821$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,792.26 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pacers | 48c | 11,240$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.17 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pacers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 52c | 8,927$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.1 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Pacers | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.93 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Pacers | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.06 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 49c | 5,676$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 5,612$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.78 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 43c | 5,504$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…aa9bbacked Pacers | 39c | 5,357$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacers | 41c | 4,631$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.19 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 64c | 4,045$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,488$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.06 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 46c | 3,453$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.56 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pacers | 46c | 2,903$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Pacers | 31c | 2,698$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.88 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacers | 4c | 2,350$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,222$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,167$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.94 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.8 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Pacers | 49c | 1,787$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.41 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,785$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.22 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Pacers | 49c | 1,781$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.46 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 48c | 1,577$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Pacers | 47c | 1,525$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.21 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Pacers | 32c | 1,438$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.02 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,413$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.78 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Pacers | 46c | 1,224$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pacers | 30c | 1,055$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.53 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pacers | 47c | 1,030$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Pacers | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Pacers | 49c | 997.51$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.78 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Pacers | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pacers | 47c | 979.23$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.28 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Pacers | 39c | 976.39$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pacers | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 847.81$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Timberwolves | 49c | 796.69$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.31 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Pacers | 50c | 736.26$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.13 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pacers | 47c | 707.36$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.88 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pacers | 47c | 690.33$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.7 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pacers | 47c | 690.33$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.7 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 68c | 676.99$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.07 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pacers | 47c | 675.42$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers | 47c | 675.42$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 635.21$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Pacers | 47c | 632$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Pacers | 46c | 624.16$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pacers | 49c | 600.83$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pacers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Pacers | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Pacers | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…b570backed Pacers | 46c | 536.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 535.95$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Pacers | 48c | 497.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Pacers | 50c | 482.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Pacers | 46c | 476.52$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 466.36$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pacers | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 49c | 404.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 44c | 395.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Pacers | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Timberwolves | 52c | 373.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…50c4backed Timberwolves | 60c | 360.83$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pacers | 49c | 349.16$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers | 33c | 348.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Pacers | 24c | 341.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Pacers | 49c | 334.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Pacers | 46c | 314.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pacers | 46c | 314.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…15afbacked Pacers | 46c | 314.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Pacers | 49c | 312.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 310.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pacers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Pacers | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Pacers | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Timberwolves | 48c | 251.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pacers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Pacers | 48c | 232.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Pacers | 46c | 218.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 37c | 211.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Pacers | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Timberwolves | 55c | 207.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Pacers | 51c | 205.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 204.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Pacers | 12c | 204.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Pacers | 47c | 201.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Pacers | 48c | 199.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Pacers | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)this page
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kobe Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Mike Conley: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-19.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. PacersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.