TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Akron Zips
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,675 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders52c111,886$58,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,769.9424351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Akron Zips49c19,825$9,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,714.288145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Akron Zips48c19,465$9,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,343.3389850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Akron Zips48c17,478$8,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,389.531,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Akron Zips48c17,107$8,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,269.8112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Akron Zips48c15,049$7,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,223.3915556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Akron Zips48c12,860$6,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,172.8714854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Akron Zips48c12,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00027755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders51c11,335$5,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.32,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Akron Zips48c9,619$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.254339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders52c9,531$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.061936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Akron Zips48c7,434$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.5590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Akron Zips49c6,967$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.7622349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Akron Zips49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.193943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Akron Zips46c1,353$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.7719958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders56c1,147$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.848444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a1…3d34backed Akron Zips3c1,064$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.441963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Akron Zips47c609.93$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Akron Zips49c606.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3850%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Akron Zips49c541.34$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.322250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Texas Tech Red Raiders54c510.62$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.731540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Akron Zips47c440.34$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8125145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Akron Zips49c394.77$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.443455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Akron Zips47c347.09$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.351,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Texas Tech Red Raiders55c304.09$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Akron Zips49c303.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6927045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Akron Zips50c269.14$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.578361.4%51 W · 32 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda82…f9d5backed Akron Zips48c227.45$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.181735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Texas Tech Red Raiders51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9857448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Akron Zips48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Akron Zips48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Akron Zips49c198.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1415252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Akron Zips50c194.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.144052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Akron Zips48c162$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4733058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders58c160.36$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.194,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Akron Zips48c149.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.887447.3%35 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+53.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Akron Zips50c145.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.869050%45 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Akron Zips49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Akron Zips49c130.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1114148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.434343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Akron Zips44c100.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6144146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce0…18d6backed Akron Zips50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Texas Tech Red Raiders54c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.224953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Akron Zips49c73.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.933756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Akron Zips50c69.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.694055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Akron Zips42c69.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0823149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Akron Zips46c64.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.743956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Texas Tech Red Raiders52c62.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.232652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders43c61.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Akron Zips47c58.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5426945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Akron Zips50c53.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.764146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Akron Zips35c49.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Akron Zips49c49.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0415850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f0…e92bbacked Akron Zips49c45.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.392060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Akron Zips51c43.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c40.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.661275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…9e20backed Akron Zips49c40.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Akron Zips49c35.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6260954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Akron Zips47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.045261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas Tech Red Raiders53c31.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.912,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Akron Zips49c31.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.333360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9381…9ae2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Akron Zips50c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.873470.6%24 W · 10 L+7.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Akron Zips45c26.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.011,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Akron Zips48c24.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Akron Zips49c23.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Akron Zips50c22.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.293946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12a…46a3backed Akron Zips50c21.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.67443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.