Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9d853a4ffcc8d2b0682e43a63dd7b89d2911a82b630c16f8b7723ee8278c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Akron Zips
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,510 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 3,525$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 3,398$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.76 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Akron Zips | 51c | 1,979$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.06 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Akron Zips | 50c | 1,502$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 1,202$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.1 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Akron Zips | 53c | 717.09$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.75 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 306.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 256.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 200.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 57c | 173.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Akron Zips | 59c | 164.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 160.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Akron Zips | 51c | 159.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 143.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 109.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 65.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked Akron Zips | 57c | 51.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Akron Zips | 33c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 74c | 44.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…6031backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 24.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 23.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Akron Zips | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-9.5)this page
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 147.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 152.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 153.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 154.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 155.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 156.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 157.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 159.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-10.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-11.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.