TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 156.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,516 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c9f…069fbacked Under53c23,093$12,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,239.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c4,851$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.522,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over47c4,236$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.059244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3533…239dbacked Under52c3,847$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb397…5e43backed Over48c3,830$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c3,821$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.9625145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c3,759$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.6812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Under52c3,379$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c2,857$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.6119958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c2,742$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.3346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,990$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.1618744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c1,925$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.123,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,599$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.015,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over45c1,593$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.941,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,560$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.081,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c1,002$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.162,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Under51c991.25$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.542352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over49c910.9$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.842245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under55c906.15$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.722250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c904.78$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.477753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37816147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over47c632.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3524847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under54c521.38$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.757258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over48c521.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1452843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over47c519.18$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3113842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under64c447.36$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5211560%69 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under44c403.55$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5613141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c366.77$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over48c297.38$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6416546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over44c291.42$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.237246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Over70c216.96$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.094047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc098…7e69backed Under75c199.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb54b…63b3backed Under55c199.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed Over52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under51c186.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0210443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.44355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under56c177.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.144257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c156$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3250548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over46c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.57950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under51c138.35$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5624951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over47c135.37$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7464647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Over52c133.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.055933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over37c132.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.354,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Under51c132.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.762347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over48c132.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0913343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ed…d4b2backed Over48c132.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.092454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c132.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under51c132.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7618048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over45c132.84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.067258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over47c124.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over42c118.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4632246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c117.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0211456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under47c112$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.641,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under51c103.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6916341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under52c103.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7214346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over45c102.07$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1415850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over45c100.12$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5739454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Over45c99.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.679552.6%50 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over48c99.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5521455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b13…fe3bbacked Over52c95.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.751573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+114.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over42c94.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7715238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under51c92.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.061,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Under51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.333647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Under51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.332445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740d…bc08backed Over49c80.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over32c69.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2253635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under53c67.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.466765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.183,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over47c62.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0727650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over48c61.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.227162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c59.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5213356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Over52c57.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.452958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c51.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2778052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over48c51.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.859952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Over45c50.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.876758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb63c…0557backed Over49c50.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Under52c49.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.533357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x057f…a269backed Over49c47.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…d8ebbacked Under52c46.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over54c46.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2223149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Under54c45.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.786841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over46c45.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5817551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b2e…38ddbacked Over49c45.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6282…8140backed Over49c44.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa006…1931backed Under52c44.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb36…deafbacked Under52c43.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7d…805fbacked Over49c43.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c43.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8116650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4181…a4fdbacked Over49c42.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over44c41.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.397856.4%44 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over48c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6511854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f9…5732backed Under52c41.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddc…8e97backed Over49c41.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d02…46e2backed Under53c41.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.838640.7%35 W · 51 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c41.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648f…c1f1backed Over49c40.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf65…afcdbacked Under52c39.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8e…7c78backed Over49c39.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5e…27b2backed Under52c39.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6c…7f10backed Over49c39.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.