TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b13…fe3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 61 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.98
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5)backed Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$208.89
Miami Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)backed Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.04
Set 1 Winner: Buse vs Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Set Handicap: Stearns (-1.5) vs Golubic (+1.5)backed Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$66.5
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)backed Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.95
Miami Open: Dalma Galfi vs Elvina Kalievabacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Zakharova vs. Bondar: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Set 1 Winner: Giron vs Landalucebacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Murcia: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Set Handicap: Agut (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5)backed Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Set 1 Winner: Badosa vs Sasnovichbacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Nerman Faticbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$55.05
Zadar: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Zadar: Daniel Michalski vs Arthur Geabacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set 1 Winner: Coppejans vs Negritubacked Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Set 1 Winner: Gurri vs Molcanbacked Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Morelos: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Asuncion: Nicolas Kicker vs Thiago Cigarranbacked Thiago Cigarran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Asuncion: Paulo Dos Santos vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Oliver Crawford vs. Alafia Ayeni: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.84
Asuncion: Valerio Aboian vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+114.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (W)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Colorado State Rams vs. Michigan State Spartans (W)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 127.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.95
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.69
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.7
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.75
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.43
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$206.47
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.53
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$64.43
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.33
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+117.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Fenerbahce vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Anadolu Efes vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+806%+$402.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$109.76
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$263.86
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.66
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$127.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.