Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Paulo Dos Santos vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716d018ad14c1aaacd35d085df112453ed2cc64424bb3de24320a81fab1ef330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Paulo Dos Santos, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,151 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Paulo Dos Santos | 40c | 11,089$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.57 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 63c | 8,071$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.24 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Paulo Dos Santos | 22c | 4,220$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.85 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 34c | 4,084$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 3,069$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.63 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 2,562$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.07 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 63c | 1,284$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.09 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Paulo Dos Santos | 24c | 1,163$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.53 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paulo Dos Santos | 30c | 850.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Paulo Dos Santos | 44c | 694.25$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 634$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 628.57$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Paulo Dos Santos | 14c | 603.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 60c | 597$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 13c | 596.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 36c | 543.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Paulo Dos Santos | 35c | 529.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paulo Dos Santos | 37c | 457.58$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 66c | 431$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 414.5$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Paulo Dos Santos | 51c | 390.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 382.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Paulo Dos Santos | 16c | 369.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Paulo Dos Santos | 11c | 354.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Paulo Dos Santos | 32c | 348.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 72c | 347.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Paulo Dos Santos | 23c | 316.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Paulo Dos Santos | 14c | 314.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 43c | 300.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 45c | 274.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 12c | 251.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Paulo Dos Santos | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Paulo Dos Santos | 11c | 215.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Paulo Dos Santos | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Paulo Dos Santos | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paulo Dos Santos | 26c | 108.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Paulo Dos Santos | 47c | 102.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 63c | 99.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Paulo Dos Santos | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Paulo Dos Santos | 29c | 82.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Paulo Dos Santos | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 24c | 59.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Paulo Dos Santos | 37c | 57.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 45c | 51.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 51.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3262…3e5fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…fe3bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Paulo Dos Santos | 27c | 47.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 72c | 43.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Paulo Dos Santos | 31c | 36.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…95c4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Paulo Dos Santos | 68c | 23.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Asuncion: Paulo Dos Santos vs Joao Lucas Da Silvathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Santos vs SilvaSilva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.