Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Villanova Wildcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9544d3e08e95e7900470da2ae8723b0cf10833d6ca924b6ce4906942c89ddc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Villanova Wildcats, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x146a…eb42backed Villanova Wildcats | 47c | 410.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 390.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Villanova Wildcats | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 212.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c0…eb7fbacked Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 198.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Villanova Wildcats | 62c | 169$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 39c | 156.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Villanova Wildcats | 44c | 154.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 38c | 135.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 101.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Villanova Wildcats | 62c | 74.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Villanova Wildcats | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 53.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…fe3bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 52c | 53.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 57c | 38.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 36.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 30.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Villanova Wildcats | 55c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 54c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.