Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dde8bcd9646c58ef320a024345740f870a999f75cce2e0fa0b2f3c28a8d193b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Anadolu Efes, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,546 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Monaco | 25c | 1,642$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.02 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 1,383$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.77 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 919.66$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.78 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Monaco | 28c | 687.03$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.95 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Monaco | 38c | 650.54$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.54 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anadolu Efes | 75c | 610.91$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.98 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Anadolu Efes | 63c | 573.41$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 32c | 540.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.54 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Monaco | 38c | 538$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Monaco | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monaco | 79c | 410.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monaco | 59c | 392.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Monaco | 32c | 308$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Monaco | 43c | 306$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Monaco | 40c | 300.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Monaco | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Monaco | 38c | 259.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Monaco | 35c | 234.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.56 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Monaco | 34c | 207.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Monaco | 40c | 198.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Anadolu Efes | 76c | 189.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Anadolu Efes | 31c | 186.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Monaco | 37c | 185.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Anadolu Efes | 72c | 135.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Anadolu Efes | 64c | 132$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Anadolu Efes | 64c | 129.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Monaco | 40c | 123.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Monaco | 32c | 122$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Anadolu Efes | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Monaco | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 111.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 111.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Monaco | 33c | 108.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Monaco | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 104$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Monaco | 33c | 102.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Anadolu Efes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Anadolu Efes | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Monaco | 37c | 94.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Monaco | 43c | 93.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monaco | 19c | 92.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Anadolu Efes | 68c | 90.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anadolu Efes | 59c | 90.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Monaco | 27c | 89.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +272.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monaco | 21c | 81.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Monaco | 22c | 79.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked Anadolu Efes | 56c | 78.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Monaco | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Monaco | 34c | 66.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 66.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Monaco | 34c | 65.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Monaco | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Anadolu Efes | 60c | 58.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Monaco | 38c | 58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +196.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 54.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…fe3bbacked Monaco | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Monaco | 37c | 52.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Anadolu Efes | 46c | 49.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Monaco | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Monaco | 57c | 44.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 43.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Anadolu Efes | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Anadolu Efes | 72c | 41.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Monaco | 32c | 41.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Monaco | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Anadolu Efes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9f3abacked Anadolu Efes | 64c | 34.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Monaco | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…f90dbacked Monaco | 38c | 28.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed Anadolu Efes | 71c | 28.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Anadolu Efes | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 22.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 20.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 20.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Anadolu Efes | 66c | 20.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Anadolu Efes | 50c | 20.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Anadolu Efes | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.