TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f94…f90d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6854.4%37 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$6.18
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.75
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.41
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$33.42
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.5
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.62
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.94
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.37
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.32
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.38
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.