Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa967b42548bc007e624fee65412c581ff8285aecb3ae7a3b6e0729fba3ad7f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,025 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 1,100$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 11c | 923.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 66c | 804.65$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.15 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 740.5$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Valencia | 68c | 713.29$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 708.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…a27dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 35c | 569.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 555$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…1ef5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 514.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Valencia | 66c | 511.39$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 471.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 384.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Valencia | 66c | 346$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 31c | 304$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Valencia | 76c | 250$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…7310backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 235$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valencia | 65c | 222.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 18c | 217.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Valencia | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 185$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Valencia | 65c | 167.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 162.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 14c | 158.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Valencia | 67c | 150.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Valencia | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7880…37b3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 36c | 143.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Valencia | 67c | 128.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 123.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 116.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Valencia | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Valencia | 80c | 110.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 106.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…06fbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 102.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…8b96backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 92.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…baa9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 90.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…f90dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 33c | 75.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 15c | 72.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…966fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 16c | 70.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Valencia | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Valencia | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…b94abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 59.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 22c | 50.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Valencia | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Valencia | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Valencia | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f3…229fbacked Valencia | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…f181backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 48.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valencia | 75c | 32.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed Valencia | 67c | 32.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Valencia | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…788abacked Valencia | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed Valencia | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Valencia | 71c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…6b96backed Valencia | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Valencia | 79c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Valencia | 73c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.