CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd89ca5daacf69ccb82b4603464ca26b8109b803d4e55a0f3ccbfe74e7ffba5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 4,425$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.19 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 44c | 1,364$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.34 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed Under | 52c | 1,342$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 1,280$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.01 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 47c | 1,118$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.42 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Under | 53c | 946.62$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 906.81$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.63 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 47c | 531.93$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Over | 48c | 522.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 55c | 476.26$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 38c | 454.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.52 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 444.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Under | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 49c | 421.48$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 413.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.15 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 48c | 409.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 51c | 389.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 48c | 366.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…8d0bbacked Over | 47c | 329.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 53c | 312.81$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 37c | 243.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 52c | 236.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d3…9e86backed Under | 67c | 209.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 209.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Over | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked Over | 48c | 205.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 52c | 193.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 45c | 189.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Under | 32c | 188$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 47c | 160.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…80febacked Under | 64c | 156.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 134.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 134.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 132.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 53c | 130.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 123.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 67c | 115.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Over | 55c | 109.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 101.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 86.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 78c | 84.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 74.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…f90dbacked Over | 47c | 70.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked Over | 52c | 66.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 43c | 66.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 53c | 63.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Over | 51c | 59.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 48c | 56.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Over | 65c | 54.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 51c | 54.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 61c | 52.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 49.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 37c | 47.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed Under | 63c | 46.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 45c | 44.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…9d82backed Over | 45c | 43.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…20abbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 58c | 34.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Over | 68c | 32.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439e…16e0backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 43c | 29.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…6cbbbacked Over | 52c | 29.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 42c | 26.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…61f5backed Over | 47c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…dfa3backed Under | 56c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…f560backed Under | 54c | 20.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…667bbacked Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…f02ebacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.