CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379ababc07788d8892d451c32f83581a322d61b6e5ccedfd41053ba4c05b3ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof Natus Vincere, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 69,873$25,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,604.88 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed TheMongolz | 41c | 53,969$21,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,989.41 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 39,540$16,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,528.12 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 23,209$8,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,340.66 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 16,412$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.11 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 10,996$6,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,437.91 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…1e5bbacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz | 46c | 9,848$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.07 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 9,134$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.53 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 8,374$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.8 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 8,000$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.89 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked TheMongolz | 41c | 6,650$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed TheMongolz | 59c | 6,570$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.87 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed TheMongolz | 60c | 6,212$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 6,191$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.94 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed TheMongolz | 40c | 5,547$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.43 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz | 59c | 4,865$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.24 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,281$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,237$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.71 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,061$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.87 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed TheMongolz | 62c | 3,735$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.57 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,687$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 3,650$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.5 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 3,585$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.22 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,457$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,361$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.75 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,752$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.67 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8ca6backed TheMongolz | 60c | 2,750$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,750$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.35 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed TheMongolz | 41c | 2,705$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.75 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 2,650$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.5 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed TheMongolz | 40c | 2,419$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.39 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,334$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.96 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 68c | 2,313$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,199$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.34 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,770$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.57 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,726$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.05 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed TheMongolz | 60c | 1,560$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,487$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.74 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…de17backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,474$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.71 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,463$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.49 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 1,322$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,250$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed TheMongolz | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.48 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed TheMongolz | 45c | 1,200$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.17 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,167$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,160$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.12 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,130$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.45 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…85b1backed TheMongolz | 38c | 1,124$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.68 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed TheMongolz | 41c | 1,076$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.64 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.84 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,020$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.41 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f812backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed TheMongolz | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 998.75$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.25 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 958.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 911.27$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.87 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 899.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 809.32$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…518bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 807.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 790.85$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 58c | 783.01$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.24 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 775.04$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.28 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 771$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.6 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz | 46c | 752.69$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.68 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 710.15$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed TheMongolz | 59c | 699.93$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.97 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…b7d9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 684.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 683.76$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 676.18$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.69 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…96adbacked TheMongolz | 75c | 667.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 627.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed TheMongolz | 32c | 613.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.3 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 604.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…d2b6backed TheMongolz | 32c | 582.16$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…38e1backed TheMongolz | 46c | 570.26$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 562.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 559.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed TheMongolz | 42c | 549.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.23 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 542.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 70c | 521$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed TheMongolz | 75c | 517.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 515.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked TheMongolz | 41c | 510$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 500.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed TheMongolz | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.