TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc790…85b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+163.1%+$868.47
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,062.09
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.63
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.96
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$432.06
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffsbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+219.5%+$219.46
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$745.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.32
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.07
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$544.01
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.56
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,509
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$772
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+792.7%+$1,252.42
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$1,466.74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$421.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,445.43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick32cpaid+121.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,148.68
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.12
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.27
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.51
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$3,249.06
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,677Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,265.08
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$992.87
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$2,591.73
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$1,634.55
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,939.26
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$712.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+213.6%+$1,442.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+243.9%+$817.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.42
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.