TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof Spirit, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$583,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$692,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Spirit71c45,960$32,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,659.61,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 9z27c37,206$10,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,083.1841340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 9z36c17,905$6,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,409.11,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed 9z20c17,000$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,572.3910935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit74c13,956$10,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,394.311,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spirit78c13,368$10,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,427.0926256.1%147 W · 115 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit60c12,954$7,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,756.4238546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked 9z41c12,292$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,291.9522654.9%124 W · 102 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked 9z80c12,189$9,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed 9z17c11,552$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,551.927157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked 9z18c11,027$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,063.233844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed Spirit68c10,877$7,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,416.245745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed 9z13c10,390$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,989.785444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 9z46c9,420$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,086.882143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit62c8,927$5,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,576.161,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit58c8,399$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.7289546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit68c7,950$5,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,421.261,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Spirit64c7,593$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.4319659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked 9z21c7,075$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,572.569954.5%54 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit66c6,787$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,453.241,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed Spirit66c6,787$4,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.1612759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Spirit79c5,829$4,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,604.9342751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit66c5,474$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.6787847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 9z41c4,264$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.465,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c30…54a2backed Spirit77c4,100$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.153066.7%20 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Spirit74c3,164$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.899655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z20c3,000$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.3478939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked 9z37c2,951$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.6811871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked 9z40c2,843$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.17454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked 9z22c2,660$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.829347.1%138 W · 155 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…34dabacked Spirit79c2,643$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed 9z39c2,572$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.5419448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed 9z32c2,287$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.825836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked 9z22c2,261$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.5611144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit54c2,210$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20049251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z21c2,200$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.981,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit74c2,000$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.172,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 9z24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5201,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked 9z22c2,000$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.396266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed 9z40c1,943$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.0819336.8%71 W · 122 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked 9z10c1,897$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.7132832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Spirit54c1,895$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0304660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z18c1,872$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.221,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed 9z22c1,841$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.9124233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Spirit66c1,792$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.5312441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed 9z22c1,785$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.0642538.6%164 W · 261 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ab…13a1backed 9z19c1,686$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.651833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked 9z21c1,676$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.1910137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Spirit59c1,570$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2311949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 9z25c1,544$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.6175545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Spirit37c1,532$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56020358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit78c1,532$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked 9z33c1,526$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.5719148.2%92 W · 99 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Spirit79c1,510$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.935460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed 9z23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15511149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed 9z22c1,413$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.2211439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc790…85b1backed 9z11c1,410$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.423938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked 9z9c1,408$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.7422230.2%67 W · 155 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Spirit77c1,400$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.9915970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 9z28c1,385$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.7394945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked 9z22c1,348$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.6722647.3%107 W · 119 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked 9z23c1,324$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.6527548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Spirit76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Spirit79c1,300$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02738557.1%220 W · 165 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Spirit53c1,296$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69040248.8%196 W · 206 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Spirit32c1,291$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2117460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Spirit26c1,217$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.6335643%153 W · 203 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit5c1,214$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.972,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked 9z41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70819849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3f…79b0backed Spirit78c1,181$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 9z24c1,174$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.691,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Spirit68c1,172$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.6662738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 9z21c1,160$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.461834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked 9z22c1,151$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.6563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed 9z17c1,119$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.0517149.1%84 W · 87 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spirit74c1,111$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.7940853.7%219 W · 189 L+24.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked 9z36c1,102$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.3410337.9%39 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed 9z29c1,087$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.5229443.9%129 W · 165 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked 9z17c1,060$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.0527530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Spirit53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.998661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Spirit15c999.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9520344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 9z23c999$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.231,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z24c989.69$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.167,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit79c948.17$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.865,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed 9z21c921$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9114451.4%74 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked Spirit77c910$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.562540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked 9z6c905.15$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848339.1%3 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick4cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z23c904.09$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.240349.1%198 W · 205 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked 9z22c883.73$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.3426345.2%119 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 9z34c858.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.892,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed 9z33c856.7$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed 9z21c836.78$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.058256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spirit57c787.92$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.84,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed 9z11c785.27$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.4241716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed 9z38c781.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.610055%55 W · 45 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed 9z13c762.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.4521443%92 W · 122 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit63c759.93$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.436854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 9z26c758$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.141,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit74c754.07$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.012,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed 9z22c750$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58511250.9%57 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.