CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77c476887eb6f66474e5de6e2837176c32fb47c4be3ac7fab1b9ba2b969e634f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Spirit, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 9z | 34c | 174,515$59,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,531.01 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spirit | 66c | 130,748$85,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,971.28 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 65c | 80,000$51,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,827.79 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed 9z | 36c | 35,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.9 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked 9z | 34c | 30,379$10,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,030.09 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked 9z | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Spirit | 66c | 19,293$12,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,733.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Spirit | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 65c | 12,571$8,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,170.97 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked 9z | 34c | 12,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.97 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 9z | 35c | 8,239$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.22 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 65c | 7,688$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…2bb3backed Spirit | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 65c | 7,322$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.21 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 9z | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 9z | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.97 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 37c | 3,894$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.21 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Spirit | 68c | 3,690$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.98 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Spirit | 65c | 3,500$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.99 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Spirit | 66c | 3,462$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.12 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed 9z | 33c | 2,744$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.74 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spirit | 63c | 2,735$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.05 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Spirit | 64c | 2,620$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.26 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 64c | 2,619$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.07 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Spirit | 66c | 2,427$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.55 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 9z | 35c | 2,265$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.04 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Spirit | 64c | 2,079$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.57 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…9fd7backed Spirit | 64c | 2,046$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Spirit | 66c | 2,021$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 9z | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 9z | 35c | 1,990$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.03 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 9z | 35c | 1,981$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.66 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 64c | 1,968$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.61 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 9z | 36c | 1,669$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.34 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked 9z | 35c | 1,639$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.76 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed 9z | 37c | 1,585$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.81 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8ca6backed Spirit | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 32c | 1,534$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed 9z | 36c | 1,529$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.59 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked 9z | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed 9z | 36c | 1,484$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.56 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…69b3backed 9z | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 9z | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.32 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Spirit | 64c | 1,273$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Spirit | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Spirit | 64c | 1,183$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.95 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed 9z | 37c | 1,089$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.59 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Spirit | 66c | 1,030$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 9z | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked 9z | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Spirit | 64c | 999.92$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.95 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spirit | 67c | 978.78$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.1 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 9z | 33c | 911.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.7 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…dca8backed 9z | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 71c | 810.67$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.84 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Spirit | 65c | 784.52$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.09 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Spirit | 64c | 778.9$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Spirit | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Spirit | 66c | 753.18$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.1 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed 9z | 35c | 750$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Spirit | 65c | 622.5$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.21 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Spirit | 64c | 603.2$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…67b7backed 9z | 37c | 595.22$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Spirit | 63c | 581$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.03 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…f384backed Spirit | 64c | 561.19$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.16 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed 9z | 35c | 555$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked 9z | 36c | 550$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Spirit | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed 9z | 39c | 513$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.02 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked Spirit | 66c | 505.52$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.64 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Spirit | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked 9z | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Spirit | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked Spirit | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Spirit | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked 9z | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Spirit | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Spirit | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed 9z | 34c | 490.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.66 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed 9z | 35c | 485.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.71 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Spirit | 64c | 470$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed 9z | 36c | 470$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 9z | 38c | 469.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.39 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Spirit | 65c | 458.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Spirit | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…76e2backed Spirit | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Spirit | 66c | 453.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed 9z | 17c | 453$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 9z | 28c | 452.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.18 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed 9z | 34c | 411.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.57 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Spirit | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 9z | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.