TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d87…a82b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.61
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.46
Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)backed Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$714.31
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 1 Winnerbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked banda chuya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.68
Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$853.68
Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,645Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$1,437.32
Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$604.24
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$406.81
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.8
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$235.69
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Banger Gang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$206.7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.38
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.48
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$300.31
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$470.69
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$396.06
Spread: Canada (-2.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$902.24
Spread: Canada (-5.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+171.2%+$312.92
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Habibis (-1.5) vs BALU (+1.5)backed Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.