Lol · resolved market
LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f6884a135af2cf2df6e7a9efea7896bf72f955bbb6d66c87f17a723d8f213a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uwinksof Uwinks, Rising Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Uwinks | 62c | 3,835$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…45f0backed Uwinks | 42c | 3,518$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Uwinks | 49c | 3,286$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Rising Gaming | 52c | 3,158$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.89 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf115…ad6bbacked Uwinks | 30c | 2,986$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Rising Gaming | 64c | 1,412$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.43 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Rising Gaming | 66c | 1,402$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.28 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Rising Gaming | 70c | 1,327$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.33 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Rising Gaming | 34c | 1,209$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rising Gaming | 46c | 1,072$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Rising Gaming | 70c | 751.17$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.77 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked Uwinks | 54c | 681.1$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Uwinks | 64c | 513.76$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Rising Gaming | 48c | 475.12$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Uwinks | 43c | 471.13$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Rising Gaming | 50c | 468.6$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 395.2$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Rising Gaming | 31c | 382.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Rising Gaming | 24c | 362$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…5a2cbacked Rising Gaming | 70c | 279$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed Rising Gaming | 69c | 257.39$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Rising Gaming | 34c | 249.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Rising Gaming | 22c | 213.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Rising Gaming | 37c | 190.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Rising Gaming | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Rising Gaming | 24c | 165$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rising Gaming | 67c | 151.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Rising Gaming | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Rising Gaming | 59c | 130$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Uwinks | 67c | 112.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Rising Gaming | 26c | 103.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Rising Gaming | 46c | 102.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Rising Gaming | 68c | 95.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Rising Gaming | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 183 | 35.5%65 W · 118 L | -23.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Rising Gaming | 52c | 66.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Rising Gaming | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Rising Gaming | 71c | 58.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…45fbbacked Rising Gaming | 75c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…f521backed Rising Gaming | 67c | 49.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Uwinks | 66c | 32.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Rising Gaming | 72c | 30.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Rising Gaming | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed Uwinks | 69c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Uwinks | 78c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular SeasonRising Gaming won
- LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRising Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.