TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Canada (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Qatar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Qatar49c26,913$13,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,127.54,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Canada36c15,251$5,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,762.3453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Canada59c13,247$7,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,495.2142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Qatar32c5,773$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.517331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Qatar41c5,665$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.472,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Qatar50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Canada71c4,805$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.6864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Canada44c4,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.997744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…6a89backed Qatar40c3,669$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4802040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b6b…2ae8backed Canada45c3,345$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.611662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Qatar64c3,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Canada68c2,947$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.110160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canada52c2,922$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.6515763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Canada55c2,721$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.2516957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Canada62c2,669$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.5620856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Qatar47c2,110$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Qatar49c2,030$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.8810355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Qatar25c1,968$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Qatar35c1,883$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.6226459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9de7…745abacked Qatar5c1,691$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.922548%12 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+39.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Canada56c1,585$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.7212536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Qatar27c1,570$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.0518056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Qatar35c1,563$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5475339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Qatar41c1,554$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.622,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Qatar42c1,542$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.261,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Canada44c1,450$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.994772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Canada48c1,412$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.3836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Canada32c1,402$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.339323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Canada58c1,269$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.6622622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Canada52c1,138$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Canada56c1,077$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.3318550.3%93 W · 92 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Qatar52c1,074$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.861,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Qatar44c1,049$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.111,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Canada56c1,015$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.6485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Qatar41c1,000$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.314035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Qatar60c1,000$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59911445.6%52 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Canada77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Canada50c999.99$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4972352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Qatar53c999.98$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Qatar50c996.56$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2834357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Qatar28c973.13$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0121143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Qatar68c949.32$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65015157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Qatar53c937.98$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Canada56c881.11$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.3316152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Canada57c839.27$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.2765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Canada80c838.82$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Qatar47c808.51$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3808627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Qatar54c799.97$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.985050%25 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Qatar48c791.41$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1929030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4882…6207backed Qatar41c708.52$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-77.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Qatar45c654.47$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.371,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Qatar38c634.32$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0218765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Canada44c610.05$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.055944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Qatar35c593.14$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.791,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Qatar40c523.7$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8622633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40bf…8bdcbacked Canada49c508.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.551861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Qatar31c500.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8425821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Qatar50c499.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.493826.3%10 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked Canada37c495.7$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Canada41c489.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.118452.2%96 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Qatar30c482.95$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6815341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Qatar25c472.46$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204219%8 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Canada69c461.83$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.12,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qatar56c457.25$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Canada50c400.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.89044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Canada50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Qatar26c383.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Canada32c363.75$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8353629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…1928backed Qatar3c357.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+52.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Qatar24c357.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6919324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Canada71c355.35$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2120253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb2d…b308backed Qatar57c351.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Qatar25c338.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2839932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c9…52adbacked Canada46c326.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.119142.9%39 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Canada43c300.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3336350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Qatar42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…7a89backed Qatar58c300$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8368.3%3 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-2.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Qatar56c276.45$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3240240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Qatar50c262.23$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.924242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Canada38c254.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.752,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed Qatar68c250.01$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94da…2bf1backed Canada37c245$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Qatar36c242.18$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9628127.8%78 W · 203 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Canada55c227.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9817241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Canada40c227.2$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3226447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Qatar45c220.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec1a…55c8backed Qatar46c217.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fd…2c69backed Canada75c215.18$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.011560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e28…2ef4backed Canada50c200.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.48239%32 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b6…6717backed Canada50c200.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.021957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Canada53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Canada50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Canada78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448749.4%43 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Canada56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.256151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7343…d57bbacked Canada58c196.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.054926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba5…5158backed Canada78c180$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Canada59c169.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9245445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf016…1f07backed Canada50c166.5$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.751526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Qatar25c163.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.842126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e1…3830backed Qatar62c161.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018444.6%82 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.