Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc917882869c166329562ffae36f0c4fd17b936f547923cb9d86d2cf38a5f0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 5c | 30,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 5c | 25,488$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.38 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Under | 6c | 12,779$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.75 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Under | 5c | 10,503$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.72 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…8027backed Under | 4c | 5,812$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Under | 5c | 4,520$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…8089backed Under | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 6c | 3,250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Under | 4c | 2,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 4c | 2,151$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 5c | 1,638$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Under | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…b409backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 18%23 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…c1d9backed Under | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…a015backed Under | 6c | 860.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…dd99backed Under | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 5c | 599.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 4c | 596.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Under | 6c | 313.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Under | 6c | 266.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…19d1backed Under | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Under | 6c | 176$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5this page
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.