Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84931f38e57b8d8640c44ee1ba2f3f6305fa93b9bd92b5a5ea42d01a21f96e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 48c | 3,528$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.43 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…2291backed Over | 46c | 2,124$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.31 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 53c | 1,342$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.96 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 53c | 1,336$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.66 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 52c | 1,146$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.88 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 992.63$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.17 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 70c | 817.63$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.04 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 39c | 770.1$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Over | 61c | 599.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 562.16$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.19 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…3122backed Under | 54c | 553.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 37.3%62 W · 104 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 455.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Over | 58c | 391.62$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 52c | 362.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…ad46backed Under | 52c | 346.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Over | 30c | 333.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 65c | 328.17$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.31 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…8f0dbacked Under | 58c | 273.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Under | 52c | 239.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 23c | 215.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over | 62c | 194.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 28c | 172.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 168$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Under | 36c | 127.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 121.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 120.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 111.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…f1c8backed Under | 35c | 110.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 52c | 108.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfa…79e7backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 285 | 44.6%127 W · 158 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 62c | 99.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…3c3fbacked Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…74e8backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 74.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf359…1ab0backed Under | 50c | 71.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 77c | 62.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…509cbacked Under | 53c | 56.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Over | 64c | 56.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…2564backed Over | 47c | 38.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…1818backed Over | 74c | 37.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 29c | 36.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…6a3dbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…451dbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…4d64backed Under | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.