TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$656,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$739,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c60,884$34,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,511.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over62c48,753$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,753.3514248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under39c27,320$10,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,758.3936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under37c23,215$8,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,578.1536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under31c22,220$6,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,791.519742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0783…8027backed Under27c21,850$6,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,001.881338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under40c15,012$5,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,991.1214544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c8,228$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.222,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over16c6,023$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,071.438723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under21c5,731$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.3221946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over68c5,588$3,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.2322437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under23c5,262$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.6827931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under5c5,189$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8625125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over59c4,892$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.738332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over64c4,780$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.281,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under74c4,734$3,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under44c4,248$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.0144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over66c4,055$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.722,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under47c3,982$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.8320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under60c3,654$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.542,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Over55c3,637$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick66cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under52c3,553$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.7237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under55c3,449$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.991,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under46c3,379$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.4310732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over41c3,300$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Under36c3,279$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.3925821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over16c3,157$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.0524917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over69c3,004$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.511,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over68c2,940$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.214,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under44c2,707$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.2114856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under34c2,541$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.1534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under51c2,472$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.5425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under54c2,437$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.11,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under35c2,338$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.2353629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over39c2,245$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.1725339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under44c2,211$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.5218543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Under46c2,133$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.349740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over50c2,057$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.6636234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9622643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over53c1,983$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.8819247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.631,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under27c1,790$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2519738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over58c1,717$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.4117322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under61c1,714$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.2225244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over75c1,682$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.682,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c1,595$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.362,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under60c1,543$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.67047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over19c1,514$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.2459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under32c1,472$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.8619218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over69c1,443$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under42c1,439$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under16c1,421$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under51c1,365$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under50c1,328$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over65c1,318$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.092,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under12c1,312$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9914131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under3c1,280$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed Under9c1,260$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.029926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Under41c1,196$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c1,144$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under3c1,139$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.959323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over63c1,111$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.256861.8%42 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under65c1,108$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.8325942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c1,073$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over64c1,058$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.061,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under11c1,038$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2122029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Over64c997.27$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.69835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Over76c975.01$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9912254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under20c927.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8417827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under53c914.81$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8528526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under48c909.2$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.8438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over61c899.12$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.061,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under12c899.05$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0817534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under3c892.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8942126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c850.95$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.632,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under19c810.59$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under36c771.5$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2326647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over42c705.8$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.3823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under49c671.6$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e7…242ebacked Over50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over60c662.32$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.241,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over33c656.27$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3415440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under54c647.69$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under41c644.07$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8623637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over37c641.9$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.68032.5%26 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Over15c633.33$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.335143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under29c583.69$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2413530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over32c581.43$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over54c569.27$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2724242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c555.87$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.273,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under29c551.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9812528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Under52c532.58$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.944740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over67c522.81$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9713247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over71c506.32$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa89…6cb6backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24516152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Under54c495.76$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.642343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under70c493.13$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5516556.4%93 W · 72 L-17.5wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.