TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$493,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$634,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under18c70,908$12,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,828.471,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under0c66,664$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6636437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under16c25,839$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.9114325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under16c22,047$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.12,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under17c13,743$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Under21c9,524$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under19c9,457$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.753,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under19c9,451$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.731,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c8,212$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.971,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over80c6,063$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.52556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c5,709$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under19c5,148$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.043,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under19c5,009$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.832,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7b…02f8backed Over80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under10c3,500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33514433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7f…694abacked Over80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under19c2,217$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under20c2,000$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.161,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over80c1,954$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.122,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over79c1,772$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.191,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Over80c1,688$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.56761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under18c1,528$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27547235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Under21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Under19c1,414$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.76634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under19c1,370$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.933,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under22c1,323$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.221,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under20c1,300$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26613548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under20c1,246$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.331,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under16c1,115$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.472,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004065%26 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Under21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Under21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over80c870.04$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0128258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under20c699.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.831,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under21c627.56$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under5c581.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under19c571.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under20c520$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under14c518.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.112,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under19c505$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.452744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95a6…620abacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005516.4%9 W · 46 L-11.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-58.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…d311backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdceb…47d9backed Under21c473.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5113428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3a7…9b95backed Under21c466.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008121%17 W · 64 L-11.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under22c426$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over79c385.82$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over79c367.61$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under20c357.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.11,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under19c280$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under21c266.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5619038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Under19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012334.1%42 W · 81 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf004…c9d6backed Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Under8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under20c247.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4137959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under19c240$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.561,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over80c240$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4814257.7%82 W · 60 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x004d…47e0backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012128.9%35 W · 86 L-14.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea74…76a7backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaff6…b357backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013528.1%38 W · 97 L-15.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c99…5351backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x673b…7a24backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02eb…a47abacked Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdcd…ea10backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8581…a2d5backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x042f…30ebbacked Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0274…5a2ebacked Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under19c215.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked Under21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514854.7%81 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Under18c210$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.87634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over80c201.2$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.248065%52 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Under22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.925937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025735%90 W · 167 L-1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Under9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711537.4%43 W · 72 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under16c198.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.481,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82aa…eeb9backed Over80c178.75$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.759259.8%55 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under24c152.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.541,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…fdbebacked Over79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under20c149$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.858942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274751.1%24 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under19c134.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.347744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2630463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7def…4ba1backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527051.9%140 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c1…d61fbacked Under20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510350.5%52 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe27…f562backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.