TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,502 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8725…eb10backed Under49c1,046$510 inLost-$509.9343145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under34c386.32$130 inLost-$13016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under55c371.14$203 inLost-$202.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c349.81$195 inWon+$154.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c333$170 inLost-$169.832,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over66c332.36$220 inWon+$112.792,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c261.94$126 inWon+$136.2183153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over49c244.9$120 inWon+$124.93447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over45c217.63$98 inWon+$119.770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over50c174.5$88 inWon+$86.562452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c157.98$79 inLost-$78.523,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over73c128.48$94 inWon+$34.541,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over51c124.39$63 inWon+$60.9585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over49c124$61 inWon+$63.1419247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.0412544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over49c100$49 inWon+$5128544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Over48c100$48 inWon+$5215246.1%70 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7531…97acbacked Over49c94.93$47 inWon+$48.416453.1%34 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under55c83.19$46 inLost-$45.681,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over48c68$33 inWon+$35.3647049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under21c57.24$12 inLost-$12.072,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de0…751bbacked Under52c56.85$30 inLost-$29.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under31c50.97$16 inLost-$1635848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9c…4d64backed Under43c46.98$20 inLost-$208336.1%30 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over52c43.34$22 inWon+$20.911,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under52c40$21 inLost-$20.82,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3c…7b03backed Under55c34.97$19 inLost-$19.071643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…28d3backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon+$11.2513961.2%85 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over53c27.34$15 inWon+$12.8320860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over52c27$14 inWon+$12.961,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over52c27$14 inWon+$12.961,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e6…e673backed Over58c20$12 inWon+$8.46453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.