TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e10…28d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13961.2%85 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$43.49
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$52.15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$106.68
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$83.96
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$8.59
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$21.03
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$164.74
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$46.31
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$4.26
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$19.47
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.2%+$6.05
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.9%+$7.02
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+60.5%+$19.17
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.3%+$22.11
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.13
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+60.6%+$9.99
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.3%+$7.81
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$26.63
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advancebacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$21.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$188.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.56
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+55.8%+$8.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+46.1%+$6.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$30.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$10.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$16.78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.55
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+50.8%+$9.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100.2%+$15.02
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$7.44
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$16.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+57%+$14.81
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$6.11
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+36.4%+$4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$14.24
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$18.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$11.69
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.61
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$10.14
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.2%+$6.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.