TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$558,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$675,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe26c…88cfbacked No18c56,885$10,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,239.25728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed No19c44,695$8,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,492.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No19c40,460$7,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,687.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes68c29,333$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,333.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No19c27,695$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,268.466443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No19c23,824$4,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,526.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No19c12,500$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes74c10,581$7,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.321,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed No19c9,931$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No35c8,920$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.882759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad25…8de8backed Yes68c7,396$5,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No19c7,380$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.21838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No19c7,134$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.462536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c7,120$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.731,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No19c6,818$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No14c6,236$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.1748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No18c6,194$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.1816644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No19c6,100$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1591330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No31c4,995$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.2711916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No27c4,955$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.1433145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes70c4,382$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No32c4,346$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.562317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7602040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ddb…b423backed No45c3,624$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No26c3,409$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.1224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed No22c2,504$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753d…4478backed No16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.941338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Yes67c2,300$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No46c2,173$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No17c2,107$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0733148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No17c2,067$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.9310521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes61c1,631$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.831376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No19c1,575$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f8…b501backed No26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No17c1,499$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.452080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No17c1,398$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No17c1,339$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.633161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked No21c1,205$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No21c1,130$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.465328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No20c1,114$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9726046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No17c1,102$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.427049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes57c1,039$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No26c899.56$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes79c887.27$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.271675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes75c840$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No6c797.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.831540%6 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+869.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99f4…6e5dbacked Yes70c742.46$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No19c736.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes68c720.88$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No25c695.47$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.871643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes77c652.06$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.971070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No7c650.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.532437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Yes74c629.81$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No17c627.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.34837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked No19c558.54$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No26c555$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.38041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.451040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No20c532.37$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+128.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9965…b6cbbacked Yes79c516.49$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No21c512.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.085829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed No20c502.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No9c456.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.131225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes73c437.82$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.868644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Yes79c429.89$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.89666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes69c424.49$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes68c403.8$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.393828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No23c400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Yes76c396.05$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick64cpaid-62.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes78c386.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes56c349.96$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes65c341.31$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2722745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked No32c314.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes79c308.13$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.711457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes76c303.79$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.793174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No20c273.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8318155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes55c271.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes52c243.83$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.042142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked No19c242.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbc…6ca9backed No20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes72c234.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf249…d47abacked Yes54c218.69$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No41c209.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes69c205.43$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Yes79c202.55$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.55757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed No10c199$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No17c198$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked No26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Yes73c186.62$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.