Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32a8efb6d0836b7ba04540ae6d1886de6d7e4ab421844be73ca0b0d55837567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 6c | 5,434$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.57 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 5c | 5,072$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 7c | 4,139$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed Yes | 6c | 3,865$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 7c | 3,121$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 5c | 1,963$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…a7fabacked Yes | 1c | 1,913$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5913backed Yes | 6c | 1,636$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,533$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 5c | 1,189$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,086$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 6c | 1,031$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 5c | 933.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 6c | 856.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 6c | 851$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 7c | 837.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 8c | 687.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 4c | 680$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 6c | 582.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…750ebacked Yes | 7c | 317.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 6c | 262.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 6c | 227$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes | 6c | 224.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 6c | 205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…0f94backed Yes | 7c | 179.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3b…2d00backed Yes | 8c | 141.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 8c | 139.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.