Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd22315552c8559cc61441ced834fb43c1fa79b79fb43d836d589f671434d611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 4,098$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.6 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 2,903$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.88 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,572$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.2 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,347$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 2,203$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 12c | 1,692$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 66c | 1,508$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,038$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 666.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 11c | 408.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 6c | 379.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…e5a0backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 6c | 306.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 70c | 239.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 19c | 221.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked Yes | 11c | 206.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 8c | 205.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 11c | 203.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 11c | 190.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 16c | 181$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Yes | 33c | 180.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 14c | 155$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…44debacked Yes | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 59c | 154.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 73c | 151.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 11c | 144.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 43c | 138.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…e34abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…e552backed Yes | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 74c | 116.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…e25cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…b031backed Yes | 35c | 97.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…84a0backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…1c0dbacked Yes | 24c | 53.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 52.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…9b48backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 42.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 78c | 33.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 30.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.