TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5924…e5a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$66.51
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.36
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$86.28
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.28
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$125.44
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.33
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$45.76
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+126.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+310.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+172.8%+$202.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$34.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.