TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes53c32,090$16,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,938.749649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No46c6,930$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.267549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked No47c3,617$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c2,690$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.911,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No47c2,516$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.3517258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No47c2,400$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27212263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c1,782$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9433,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c1,225$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.0997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63615858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No44c803.83$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.496732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42414359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes53c712.27$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37112661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c563.13$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yes61c504$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9416453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No45c456.55$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.113553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No32c357.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.614459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.612162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No36c317$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.486936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c265$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c265$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No47c235.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0320249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No47c230$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.93348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c208.72$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10614660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10614459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes37c199.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No16c189$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.415060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No35c175.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0115676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c174$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2115748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c161.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c133$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes78c129.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6739567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes78c124.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7914761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes65c120.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.018934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.613461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c119.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No47c116$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.489457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No25c107$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7215638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No48c105.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2119255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.48469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes73c72.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9830444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Yes57c68.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No48c68.06$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4719056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes55c63.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No42c62.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3836051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No47c59.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5324859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No47c59.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes54c55.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.235240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No22c54.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8610249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes78c51.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes55c50.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9226150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No47c49.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.210753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes73c48.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0513952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No40c47.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.011566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No43c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No47c43.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.898257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No48c42.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.342860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Yes74c42.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Yes73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.082842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.29058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yes74c39.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.252875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Yes59c39.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes65c37.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1425934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes55c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3511563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes55c36.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No39c32.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked No48c31.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.471275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.913557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No38c28.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.785259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd45c…bb50backed Yes43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No47c22.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.693452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e6…952dbacked Yes76c21.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.171747.1%8 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick72cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Yes72c21.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.282152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-81.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes74c14.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf81e…ab79backed Yes76c14.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes76c13.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.