Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b602ea0c8aed571b52d1129dbcda27ec7a03007b7622742a41f70e563093093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 70c | 50,131$35,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,021.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 35,222$9,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,465.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 30c | 23,580$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,505.96 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 29c | 18,581$5,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,233.26 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 29c | 12,562$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,916.38 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 64c | 7,959$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 71c | 7,000$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 30c | 6,361$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 6,117$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.42 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 73c | 5,972$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.39 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 32c | 5,915$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 31c | 5,179$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.8 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 4,977$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.17 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,699$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 4,242$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.59 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb7…8db0backed Yes | 70c | 3,857$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 69c | 3,619$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 66c | 3,212$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.35 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 31c | 3,200$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 30c | 3,137$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 2,825$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.43 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 30c | 2,599$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.1 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 30c | 2,508$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.65 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 38c | 2,435$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.72 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed No | 37c | 2,304$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Yes | 52c | 2,259$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 1,980$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.44 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 50c | 1,899$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 30c | 1,719$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 1,683$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 51c | 1,671$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 47c | 1,645$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,640$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.53 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 30c | 1,620$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.95 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 31c | 1,457$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.99 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…d987backed Yes | 69c | 1,444$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…879dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,181$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…d3f3backed No | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed Yes | 56c | 1,160$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 1,010$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.23 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…a5bdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…b424backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 937$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.55 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Yes | 59c | 898.12$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 891.91$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 30c | 861.4$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.82 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 69c | 803.01$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.63 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 29c | 797.82$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.51 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 12c | 772.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 30c | 768.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 731.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.84 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 705.15$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.45 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 49c | 700$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 57c | 691.83$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…facfbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 51c | 631.08$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 73c | 618.88$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.92 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 30c | 582.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.51 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes | 70c | 570$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 30c | 538.02$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.73 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 45c | 530.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.18 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 31c | 514.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.91 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 23c | 507.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.07 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 10c | 506.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…3f48backed Yes | 40c | 503.09$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked Yes | 43c | 500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 70c | 500$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed No | 31c | 484.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 42c | 452.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 443$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.15 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 47c | 418.62$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 31c | 416$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.17 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 31c | 416$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.17 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 69c | 401.45$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Yes | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 52c | 374.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 68c | 360.86$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 34c | 353.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 69c | 327.62$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Yes | 41c | 319.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 9c | 316.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 30c | 278.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.