Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8392454351ea36379cc9c259445cdf2f8d9fbf251842b1c6654102fb504a868d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 8,848$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…879dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,842$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 2,632$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 1,572$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.32 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,068$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.85 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked Yes | 58c | 941.34$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 884.41$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.53 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 727.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.61 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 59c | 699.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 586.38$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 63c | 518.28$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 48c | 493.68$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 359.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 347.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 79c | 314.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 41c | 244.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 5c | 231.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 24c | 229.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 57c | 216.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Yes | 47c | 212.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 210$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 43c | 205.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 199.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 199.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 48c | 172.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 168.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 27c | 151.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…16d5backed Yes | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked No | 71c | 140.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 71c | 140.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 19c | 136.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 74c | 134.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 9c | 130.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 21c | 109.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 68c | 101.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…fda1backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 65c | 97.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…f8c1backed Yes | 22c | 92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +125%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 60c | 89.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 24c | 70.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 58.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…c790backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…f527backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +124%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 64c | 40.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 73c | 38.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…ef93backed Yes | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 74c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 65c | 35.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 58c | 34.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…468cbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 75c | 31.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 30.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…e65abacked No | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 64c | 20.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed Yes | 78c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…86f6backed Yes | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.