TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f92…dec0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10445.2%47 W · 57 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkovabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$40.78
Swedish Open: Facundo Acosta vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$34.98
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$161.55
Istanbul 2: Kristina Penickova vs Karman Thandibacked Karman Thandi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$479
Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Bastad: Moyuka Uchijima vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+52%+$129.92
Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+60%+$149.97
Pegula vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Alex de Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta Kostyukbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bencic vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$366.02
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386.58
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$316.19
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.48
Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$609.92
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$254.14
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,168.3
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$2,080.54
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,512.35
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$71.69
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$372.82
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.01
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.97
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.44
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$307.19
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$385.14
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.56
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$319.39
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.65
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$221.67
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$501.92
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$446.63
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$254.2
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$152.91
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.69
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.89
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.06
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.74
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$195.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+74%+$144.16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,688.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$197.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.