TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Alex de Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Over 3.560c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9945957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under 3.540c5,644$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.246,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over 3.562c3,565$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.5648552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Under 3.539c3,246$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Over 3.565c3,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006230.6%19 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.535c2,496$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.634,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.538c1,782$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.132,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3b…dcc2backed Over 3.561c1,623$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.992040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over 3.561c1,600$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97619052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over 3.564c1,561$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011752.1%61 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under 3.538c1,339$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.421,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.538c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under 3.537c905.97$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.761,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Under 3.540c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52535955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under 3.539c722.56$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0222252.3%116 W · 106 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under 3.540c708.8$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.841,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.538c600$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.197,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under 3.540c537.5$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.51,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over 3.572c499.47$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.879,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under 3.539c479.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.191,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Under 3.540c435.65$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.394052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 3.540c417.65$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.591,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f92…dec0backed Over 3.561c407.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010445.2%47 W · 57 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Over 3.560c334.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20091754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under 3.540c305.13$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1440350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under 3.540c296$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7872755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb93…94cfbacked Under 3.580c281.75$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.353548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under 3.544c269$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9227550.2%138 W · 137 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Over 3.553c245.17$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9499249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under 3.539c217.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.91,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under 3.524c210.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9142930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under 3.539c202.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4275350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0da…c8febacked Over 3.563c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Under 3.540c200$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.721968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over 3.568c199.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.988749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.573c188.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.694,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74a…25a2backed Under 3.547c180.84$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Over 3.561c164$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.044245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c32…3f32backed Over 3.561c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over 3.565c153.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.52060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Under 3.535c146$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.93650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under 3.539c145$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8156153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.535c141.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.637,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under 3.543c139.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.111,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a3…52dbbacked Over 3.561c131.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.143756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc162…40bbbacked Over 3.561c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under 3.536c105$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.235641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Over 3.561c101.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211564.3%74 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over 3.536c101.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5926355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over 3.562c101.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under 3.538c101.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under 3.535c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Over 3.565c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Under 3.515c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8517810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Over 3.562c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9910965.1%71 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under 3.536c99.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7747251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d59…7c7dbacked Over 3.560c80.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6505…1feebacked Over 3.563c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Over 3.563c78.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.529147.8%139 W · 152 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over 3.533c75.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.581,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under 3.556c69.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8365259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under 3.539c68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3229551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under 3.532c63.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3520454.9%112 W · 92 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3145…fcf5backed Over 3.563c62.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.336155.7%34 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Over 3.552c60.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5654141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4045…3307backed Under 3.540c57.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.943540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0775…2d52backed Over 3.561c53.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under 3.540c51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Under 3.540c50.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.421,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under 3.538c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3126441.7%110 W · 154 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under 3.555c49.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1428264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under 3.540c47.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6555149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under 3.537c41.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4638947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked Over 3.561c40.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7519852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Under 3.543c33.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8830948.9%151 W · 158 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.561c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ae…18a2backed Over 3.563c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Under 3.541c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8537153.9%200 W · 171 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Over 3.563c29.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8934761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over 3.543c25.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under 3.540c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over 3.556c18.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.273,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over 3.573c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6833550.1%168 W · 167 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.