Tennis · resolved market
Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86cba18ae37a3f31e79b4d3dbc0afa367118ad686170e1801e966b1b88a6f8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 57c | 20,003$11,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,401.88 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 43c | 11,945$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,808.51 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 10,279$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.23 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 4,061$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 52c | 3,135$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.71 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 1,554$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.83 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 52c | 1,334$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.05 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Under | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Over | 49c | 408.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 278.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 260.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 51c | 235.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 213.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 47c | 191.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 44c | 188.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over | 52c | 185$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Under | 43c | 166.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 153.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cc…b707backed Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…25a2backed Under | 43c | 140.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 136.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 50c | 131.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 51c | 114.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…1cfabacked Under | 54c | 110.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 43c | 108.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 104.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 51c | 98.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Under | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 51c | 97.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 51c | 94.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 44c | 93.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 43c | 69.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 44c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 61.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Under | 45c | 52.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 43c | 50.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Under | 43c | 49.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Under | 50c | 48.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…e7a8backed Under | 48c | 46.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 51c | 44.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 48c | 39.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 54c | 37.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 43c | 34.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 45c | 23.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5this page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set 2 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set 3 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)Cobolli won
- Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.