Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6155d644d6cb86a5a710cde135fa05176ca80d76c3f1a22134b9ac7bb49530de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Minaur, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cobolli | 69c | 7,174$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.01 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Minaur | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Minaur | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.74 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…ce22backed Cobolli | 67c | 2,402$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.97 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Minaur | 32c | 1,761$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.63 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Minaur | 32c | 808.53$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.69 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Minaur | 33c | 735.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Cobolli | 67c | 730.02$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Minaur | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Minaur | 40c | 325.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Cobolli | 67c | 295.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Minaur | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli | 64c | 277.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…09c1backed Cobolli | 67c | 252.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Cobolli | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cobolli | 66c | 193.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Cobolli | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Cobolli | 67c | 148.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…6917backed Cobolli | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cobolli | 68c | 92.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Minaur | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Minaur | 35c | 89.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Cobolli | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Minaur | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Cobolli | 70c | 74.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…ad3abacked Cobolli | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Cobolli | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Minaur | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Minaur | 31c | 36.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Minaur | 35c | 36.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…8cacbacked Cobolli | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 213 | 61.5%131 W · 82 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Minaur | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Cobolli | 73c | 26.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cobolli | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…4129backed Cobolli | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)this page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set 2 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set 3 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.