TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ddd…7cdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5738.6%22 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,193.79
Swiss Open, Qualification: Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.13
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Set 1 Winner: Dietrich vs Monteirobacked Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.22
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$288.4
Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Mili Poljicakbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$493.56
Croatia Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.13
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$465.39
Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Noskovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$440.46
Set 2 Winner: Virtanen vs Dietrichbacked Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Arevalo/Pavicbacked Arevalo/Pavic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.07
Swiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Swiss Open, Qualification: Daniel Michalski vs Calvin Hemerybacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Set 2 Winner: Monteiro vs Herbertbacked Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.69
ITF Don Benito: Martyna Kubka vs Valentina Ryserbacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Huesler vs Butvilasbacked Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Taro Danielbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34%+$71.54
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.63
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.33
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$37.1
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 3 Winner: Fery vs Zverevbacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 2 Winner: Fery vs Zverevbacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.35
Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Zverevbacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.03
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.38
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$36.52
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.1
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$65.9
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.35
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$215.42
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$143.88
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$138.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliersbacked Cleveland Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.