Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9eeffae36e74d7a3c7c7fbaca261c763346ec1205fac57b8a235f55893754f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Fery, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fery | 25c | 15,605$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.69 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Zverev | 76c | 13,284$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.06 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…ef37backed Zverev | 73c | 3,749$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Fery | 22c | 2,472$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…8993backed Fery | 24c | 2,076$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Zverev | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fery | 26c | 1,500$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.93 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Zverev | 77c | 1,042$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Zverev | 74c | 761.53$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 332 | 34%113 W · 219 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zverev | 75c | 592.77$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Fery | 26c | 555$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Zverev | 75c | 515$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Fery | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Fery | 26c | 390.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Fery | 26c | 388.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Zverev | 72c | 369.44$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Zverev | 76c | 350$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Zverev | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c4…c777backed Fery | 25c | 292$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Fery | 36c | 282.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Zverev | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…0fe0backed Fery | 18c | 255.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Fery | 34c | 247.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Fery | 24c | 244.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 346 | 48.3%167 W · 179 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Fery | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Fery | 20c | 212.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Fery | 28c | 210.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zverev | 75c | 209.06$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…f214backed Zverev | 65c | 199.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…9edfbacked Zverev | 79c | 190$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fery | 24c | 150.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Fery | 22c | 147.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fery | 21c | 137.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…6a3bbacked Zverev | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…9251backed Fery | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Zverev | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…9b0abacked Fery | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Fery | 34c | 90.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Zverev | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…a216backed Fery | 28c | 79.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fery | 26c | 68.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Fery | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Zverev | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zverev | 63c | 56.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Fery | 26c | 52.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Zverev | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Fery | 32c | 46.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Fery | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Fery | 25c | 43.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…4669backed Zverev | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Zverev | 76c | 39.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Zverev | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…f92cbacked Zverev | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Zverev | 69c | 26.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Zverev | 72c | 24.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Zverev | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Zverev | 76c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Zverevthis page
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Zverev won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.