TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Zverev, Fery
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$284,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dab…22e1backed Zverev50c143,017$71,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,533.941154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Fery50c124,000$62,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,00010453.8%56 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Fery53c10,798$5,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,741.6217746.3%82 W · 95 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Zverev51c9,800$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.9727460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Zverev52c8,654$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,153.859764.9%63 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Fery19c8,620$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.2357939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…15ffbacked Fery50c7,910$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,964.782347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Zverev50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75037450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Zverev58c6,916$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.443441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Fery50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Zverev50c5,354$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.748743.7%38 W · 49 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Fery54c5,222$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8091,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Zverev74c5,108$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.72152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdad5…4990backed Zverev49c5,000$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.951435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Fery50c4,456$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.7613025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Fery54c4,281$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Fery49c4,165$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.9252661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Fery50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9461…6be0backed Zverev75c3,719$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.098246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Zverev47c3,514$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.052,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Fery56c3,260$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.3314252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fery49c3,164$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.572,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Fery48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Zverev46c2,738$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.338446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fery36c2,679$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.742,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Zverev47c2,668$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.251,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Fery53c2,170$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Fery21c2,167$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9226355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Fery50c2,074$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03779855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Fery49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Zverev50c2,000$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.731146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Fery35c1,919$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.935955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Fery50c1,699$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.934,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fery41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.359,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Zverev50c1,474$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.417742.9%33 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+40%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Zverev51c1,376$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.474639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Fery26c1,291$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.79631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Fery50c1,234$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.771,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Zverev50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60027762.8%174 W · 103 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Zverev50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60034555.1%190 W · 155 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Zverev58c1,200$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51045457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Fery49c1,091$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5448842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…53c3backed Fery51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012849.2%63 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Fery49c1,020$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.143743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Fery50c1,007$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018044.4%80 W · 100 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Fery50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Fery50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49035439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Zverev42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804949%24 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536d…07fdbacked Fery51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Fery48c964.31$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.8710751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fery50c940.9$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.453,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Fery37c880.03$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4912439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Zverev47c841.55$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.0272638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Zverev60c834.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0827151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Fery50c820$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fery50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Fery40c796.85$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.191,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Zverev52c795.11$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.655756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Zverev62c764.62$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.011,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Zverev51c726.99$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7140144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Zverev50c703.06$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.031,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa584…f829backed Fery37c699.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Fery53c660.75$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Zverev54c610$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.63141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Fery46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27666831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Zverev62c596.6$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.329443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Zverev66c593.8$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8944751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Zverev52c590.38$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3813560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5142…0845backed Zverev77c584.34$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0713248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Fery31c526.59$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.531,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Zverev48c523.12$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.154,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Zverev61c504.13$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zverev40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Fery49c490.2$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.31,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Zverev51c461.3$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0465157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…e281backed Zverev70c442.37$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.071145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Zverev51c431.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3726263%165 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Fery49c430$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.710656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Fery49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009951.5%51 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Fery49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Zverev51c403.52$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.735561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b52…8ceebacked Fery50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fery36c399.58$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.184,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Zverev52c386.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7214153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcada…df46backed Fery22c377.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.975536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Fery49c367.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Zverev44c365.34$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5917942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Fery35c313.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.351,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Fery50c303.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.078743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa614…0bafbacked Fery34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Zverev50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15035360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked Zverev52c278.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Zverev51c278.67$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5513852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Fery19c231.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.97335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Fery44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014133.3%47 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Zverev52c223.1$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.092268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Zverev57c222$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4639055.6%217 W · 173 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c9…9befbacked Zverev65c221.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Fery49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.95250%26 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.