Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d8d5f04ebd41b1fc5db9958cc41934581dac1d0a7556339456bbd1f91733648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8718…5040backed Zverev | 78c | 8,587$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.14 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fery | 22c | 7,779$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.51 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Fery | 25c | 4,433$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.13 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Zverev | 73c | 4,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.24 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Fery | 27c | 3,645$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Zverev | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.75 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fery | 25c | 1,594$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.52 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…4990backed Zverev | 70c | 1,528$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Fery | 27c | 1,097$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Fery | 28c | 1,012$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…1cfabacked Zverev | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fery | 26c | 792.9$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Zverev | 75c | 777.4$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Fery | 30c | 776.67$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Zverev | 75c | 729.37$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.34 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zverev | 75c | 644.21$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Fery | 30c | 600.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fery | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zverev | 74c | 536.7$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Zverev | 73c | 500$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Zverev | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…ff0abacked Zverev | 75c | 461.33$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Zverev | 74c | 445.46$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fery | 27c | 443$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Fery | 28c | 401$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Fery | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…b79abacked Zverev | 73c | 345.88$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fery | 28c | 341.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Zverev | 74c | 333$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Fery | 24c | 319.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Zverev | 75c | 316.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fery | 22c | 312.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Zverev | 71c | 280.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Zverev | 75c | 265.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Zverev | 75c | 202$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Zverev | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Fery | 28c | 178.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Fery | 22c | 151.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…5336backed Fery | 28c | 120.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Fery | 30c | 109.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Zverev | 78c | 106.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Fery | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fery | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…0b15backed Fery | 29c | 96.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Fery | 29c | 90.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…0f1abacked Fery | 66c | 72.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Zverev | 74c | 67.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…5112backed Zverev | 75c | 66.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Fery | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Fery | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Zverev | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…1ccabacked Zverev | 74c | 33.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Fery | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd171…cbdabacked Zverev | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Zverev | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Zverev | 73c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zverev | 78c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)this page
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Zverev won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.