TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francesco Passaroof Francesco Passaro, Maks Kasnikowski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Maks Kasnikowski26c6,004$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.078,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Passaro76c3,851$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Maks Kasnikowski26c3,077$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.471,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Maks Kasnikowski8c3,014$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.393,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Francesco Passaro52c1,638$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.3661152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Francesco Passaro67c1,513$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.2831253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maks Kasnikowski30c1,348$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.129,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Maks Kasnikowski18c1,285$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8431443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f93…eb20backed Maks Kasnikowski34c1,190$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.588439.3%33 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Maks Kasnikowski48c1,050$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.846750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Maks Kasnikowski36c1,028$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.4720846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maks Kasnikowski27c961.54$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.918,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Francesco Passaro66c950.17$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.1753657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Maks Kasnikowski50c876$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43852661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Maks Kasnikowski44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6560…a77cbacked Maks Kasnikowski15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Maks Kasnikowski14c634.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7690335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Maks Kasnikowski48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Francesco Passaro60c597.5$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.53,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Francesco Passaro75c587.38$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.574955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Francesco Passaro51c507.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.941,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Maks Kasnikowski36c427.03$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7327748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Maks Kasnikowski45c382.21$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1519048.4%92 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Francesco Passaro63c334.1$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.254634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Maks Kasnikowski6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Maks Kasnikowski49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.872638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffe…a60fbacked Francesco Passaro78c311.05$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4316667.5%112 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Maks Kasnikowski37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11130353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Maks Kasnikowski18c296.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6914347.6%68 W · 75 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Maks Kasnikowski49c284.59$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4551744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Francesco Passaro51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.511,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Maks Kasnikowski37c250.03$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.511,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Francesco Passaro66c245.38$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4329151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Maks Kasnikowski18c227.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.259240.2%37 W · 55 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Maks Kasnikowski41c221.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.448446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Maks Kasnikowski7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Maks Kasnikowski21c195.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.491,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Maks Kasnikowski18c186.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.572,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Francesco Passaro59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4988935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Francesco Passaro64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2528154.8%154 W · 127 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Francesco Passaro67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255738.6%22 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Maks Kasnikowski35c143.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe611…2970backed Maks Kasnikowski25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520055%110 W · 90 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Maks Kasnikowski14c135.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Maks Kasnikowski30c132.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8425237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Maks Kasnikowski38c130.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Maks Kasnikowski35c129.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.693,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe094…4410backed Maks Kasnikowski31c121.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.842050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Maks Kasnikowski25c121.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Francesco Passaro72c116.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8122567.1%151 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Maks Kasnikowski50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.634761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9886…ededbacked Maks Kasnikowski47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Maks Kasnikowski47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Francesco Passaro68c97.91$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3682958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Francesco Passaro50c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.52,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Francesco Passaro67c92.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.44,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Maks Kasnikowski48c91.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Maks Kasnikowski47c91.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Francesco Passaro50c87.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9990152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Francesco Passaro57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7226253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Maks Kasnikowski47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Maks Kasnikowski36c82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5244949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Francesco Passaro63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Francesco Passaro55c76.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5124159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Maks Kasnikowski47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f5…82b5backed Maks Kasnikowski27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Francesco Passaro51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.439851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Maks Kasnikowski34c58.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9943444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Maks Kasnikowski48c57.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.861,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Maks Kasnikowski38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010855.6%60 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ea…2314backed Francesco Passaro52c51.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Francesco Passaro74c51.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.442,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Francesco Passaro73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7517656.8%100 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Francesco Passaro74c49.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8739159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Francesco Passaro67c49.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.449450%47 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Francesco Passaro50c46.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2450340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Francesco Passaro51c46.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2356651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Francesco Passaro61c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7735060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa5…61ffbacked Maks Kasnikowski36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Francesco Passaro77c40.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3914644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Francesco Passaro64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Maks Kasnikowski44c39.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1733048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Maks Kasnikowski30c34.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed Maks Kasnikowski31c34.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6620552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f40…16c7backed Francesco Passaro54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1811163.1%70 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Francesco Passaro62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2618855.3%104 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesco Passaro64c26.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Francesco Passaro63c26.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Francesco Passaro53c25.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.788554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Maks Kasnikowski49c25.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Francesco Passaro51c25.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Maks Kasnikowski49c25.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2643749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd2…24efbacked Francesco Passaro69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Francesco Passaro51c21.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5850845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.