TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ffe…a60f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT16467.1%110 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$76.08
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$46.34
Kingston 2: Kaylan Bigun vs Lucas Andrade Da Silvabacked Kaylan Bigun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$87.22
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Giorgio Tabaccobacked Matthew William Donald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$141.57
Monterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.88
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$67.26
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$118.75
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.62
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$118.91
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Norbert Gombosbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34.37
Cancun: Vit Kopriva vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.98
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$115.05
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$104.49
Cancun: Gauthier Onclin vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.29
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$55
Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$76.66
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$40.52
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$135.87
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Kingston: Elias Ymer vs Paul Jubbbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52.84
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Theo Papamalamisbacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$65.07
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.6
Prague: Andrew Paulson vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$49.7
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66.35
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$151.92
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.77
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$107.52
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$107.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.