United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d646ac5646bf847f2dc0ce9c18c4d8909bbb7b050b31075afb9b67d3802b33

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Belgiumof United States, Belgium
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,213,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,103,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,213,564 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,974 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09b4…7320backed Belgium	47c	2,514,177$1,183,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330,608.92	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c6…4a81backed United States	53c	1,098,932$582,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582,434	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked United States	53c	1,000,000$530,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530,000	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Belgium	52c	775,517$406,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369,130.28	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Belgium	47c	695,999$327,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368,879.4	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Belgium	56c	649,835$365,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284,010.82	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	42c	617,045$257,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257,890.07	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Belgium	46c	604,998$280,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324,648.97	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Belgium	65c	525,566$343,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181,847.66	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed United States	0c	510,323$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.84	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd22…ad91backed United States	53c	400,000$210,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210,000	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Belgium	46c	399,997$182,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217,498.35	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed United States	52c	377,954$197,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197,480.18	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed United States	50c	298,656$148,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,279.13	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked United States	24c	291,167$70,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,636.99	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Belgium	47c	289,855$136,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153,828.81	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Belgium	47c	281,093$130,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150,183.94	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed United States	53c	277,777$147,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147,221.81	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked United States	52c	255,136$132,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132,670.52	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Belgium	71c	250,700$177,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,904.75	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Belgium	47c	222,220$104,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117,587.5	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed United States	54c	221,848$118,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118,859.58	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Belgium	47c	221,381$104,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117,331.76	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Belgium	46c	218,230$100,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117,844.01	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Belgium	47c	213,624$100,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113,220.87	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed United States	46c	212,119$97,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,500	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed United States	0c	206,021$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.02	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Belgium	46c	201,109$93,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107,699	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Belgium	47c	200,000$94,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106,000	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed United States	53c	195,064$102,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,845.47	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Belgium	64c	192,455$123,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,976.59	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked United States	53c	180,000$95,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95,799.97	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked United States	26c	180,000$46,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,941.74	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed United States	15c	172,134$25,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,829.27	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed United States	51c	161,094$82,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,469	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+9.3wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed United States	53c	155,893$82,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,140.76	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked United States	8c	155,011$12,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,153.76	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Belgium	47c	153,600$72,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,407.89	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed United States	54c	142,352$76,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,870.08	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked United States	24c	141,935$34,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,064.46	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed United States	54c	133,675$72,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,480.91	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked United States	50c	124,426$62,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked United States	53c	119,994$63,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,096.85	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…dea6backed United States	53c	114,864$60,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,994.8	31	29%9 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked United States	53c	111,195$58,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,933.35	135	43%58 W · 77 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed United States	54c	109,540$59,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,151.56	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Belgium	45c	107,886$48,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,337.44	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked United States	53c	106,016$56,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,189	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…73c3backed Belgium	48c	105,000$50,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,600	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Belgium	47c	100,000$47,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,999.95	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Belgium	70c	96,963$67,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,155.72	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed United States	53c	94,340$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Belgium	72c	93,566$67,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,352.53	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed United States	54c	88,889$48,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,000	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed United States	8c	88,887$7,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,227.3	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked United States	53c	87,893$46,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,583.29	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked United States	54c	87,734$47,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,376.37	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed United States	52c	86,033$44,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,799.8	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed United States	11c	85,582$9,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,234.72	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Belgium	47c	81,000$38,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,929.94	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed United States	43c	76,135$32,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,515.05	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed United States	54c	75,461$40,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,748.94	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed United States	54c	75,000$40,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,500	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed United States	53c	74,692$39,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,948.89	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked United States	25c	72,455$17,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,907.86	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed United States	52c	72,035$37,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,360.53	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Belgium	47c	70,000$32,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,099.92	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked United States	53c	60,000$31,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,800	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Belgium	47c	60,000$28,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,800	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked United States	53c	60,000$31,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,799.85	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked United States	16c	59,057$9,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,410.37	147	15.6%23 W · 124 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Belgium	71c	57,719$41,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,497.15	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13e…4ad1backed United States	53c	55,391$29,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,357.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked United States	53c	55,277$29,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,299.58	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed United States	24c	53,434$12,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,817.51	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Belgium	71c	53,324$37,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,668.43	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed United States	54c	52,007$27,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,998.67	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed United States	52c	50,267$26,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,036.34	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed United States	54c	50,036$27,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,019.24	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked United States	52c	50,000$26,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,000	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Belgium	47c	50,000$23,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,499.88	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked United States	53c	47,852$25,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,159	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked United States	53c	47,754$25,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,309.62	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed United States	4c	47,209$1,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890.55	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked United States	53c	47,170$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed United States	54c	45,666$24,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,659.59	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Belgium	47c	45,000$21,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,949.92	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked United States	22c	43,594$9,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,521.82	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Belgium	49c	43,541$21,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,256.22	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed Belgium	66c	42,660$28,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,343.94	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked Belgium	47c	42,553$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,553.19	39	71.8%28 W · 11 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed Belgium	46c	42,240$19,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,809.56	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…2cd5backed Belgium	47c	41,865$19,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,188.64	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Belgium	74c	41,000$30,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,861.97	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed United States	53c	40,815$21,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,814	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Belgium	48c	40,000$19,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,999.98	245	26.5%65 W · 180 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed United States	33c	39,606$13,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,006.1	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed United States	54c	39,390$21,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,100	109	27.5%30 W · 79 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked United States	48c	38,944$18,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,755.97	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbf…43cabacked United States	25c	38,920$9,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,730	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancethis page
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event