TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7cfd…9227backed Under24c19,361$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…5d29backed Over78c15,110$11,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c9,681$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.2130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…e2f5backed Over77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.992236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under24c4,033$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c4,002$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over77c3,029$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.611,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over77c2,835$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.9749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under22c2,185$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.5970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf5…f3e9backed Over78c1,591$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over79c1,572$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over78c1,453$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.772,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over77c1,249$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.271,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7e…396bbacked Under22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9390…dca0backed Over78c960.33$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over77c793.09$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5d…19bdbacked Over78c703$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.66560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb43f…ec95backed Over78c675.02$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.51478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+60.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Over78c641.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0215335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0d…68edbacked Over78c640.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…b54ebacked Over77c582.48$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.975100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over77c542.74$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over78c524.36$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3610042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Under22c499.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014238.7%55 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cb…9550backed Under22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008734.5%30 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under23c398.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…dd2bbacked Over78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.626836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…30a4backed Under21c373.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.486720.9%14 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under22c341.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.093,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660b…7191backed Over78c333.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c66…76cdbacked Over78c326.92$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Over78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.513582.9%29 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over77c318.18$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1812654%68 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698161.7%50 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over77c277.36$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.793754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under24c274$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Under23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4116747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under24c237.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.084233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over78c227.71$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.212,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under22c218.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.193,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over79c210$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.119062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over76c196.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba2…24febacked Over79c160.15$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.632770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e3…23bcbacked Over78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Under23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307946.8%37 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1e…05f5backed Under23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8724162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb59…6ca3backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2115952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over78c128.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under24c123$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.521,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over77c112.56$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8946562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1069826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f1…3b8ebacked Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over78c95.51$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0115667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under23c95.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.891,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5934…38d5backed Over78c89.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under23c80.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.521,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.947244.4%32 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2935251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under23c58.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3548154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b1…da28backed Under23c44.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda05…9e0cbacked Over77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963482.4%28 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.969454.3%51 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over77c34.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.851,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef0…efedbacked Over78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051492.9%13 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick69cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ad8…cd3dbacked Over78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8223761.2%145 W · 92 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac2a…4543backed Over77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643775.7%28 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4d…a068backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Over79c25.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.355265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over78c22.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.032,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.628251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over77c19.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4363255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f45…f101backed Over78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.238158%47 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd99a…1f3ebacked Over79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.995151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee27…5ebfbacked Over78c17.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35aa…7bd0backed Over77c15.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.541936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over78c15.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3278835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1662…9b28backed Over77c14.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.333868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.