TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$780,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$820,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $780,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c67,945$53,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,390.742,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over21c64,864$13,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,670.881,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…3046backed Over29c32,000$9,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,255.661735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Over23c30,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.984531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c26,723$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over1c22,500$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c20,574$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under66c14,839$9,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.3123353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Over9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…3268backed Over32c10,750$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over19c8,223$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.8237944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c8,142$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6c…425cbacked Under76c7,500$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8004459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c7,402$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c7,127$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.034,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over4c7,070$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4711637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over7c6,577$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.393125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9927345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over30c5,984$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.821,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over35c5,886$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.5144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over19c5,538$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.0659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over25c5,061$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.281,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over11c5,037$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.242,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Over37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85015459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under71c4,762$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.9710549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under68c4,367$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.7828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Over34c4,222$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.3715335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under65c3,808$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.732,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over7c3,710$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over5c3,646$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.616515.4%10 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c3,598$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under74c3,374$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.122263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over4c3,287$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.941,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over36c3,174$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.811,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over6c3,094$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over25c2,518$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.61714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under68c2,302$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.3937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over3c2,133$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.92524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Over38c2,124$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.9523224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over9c2,113$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over7c2,025$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7536031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over5c2,024$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over31c2,015$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.21,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Under65c2,009$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.1521429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over5c2,006$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over37c1,842$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under69c1,700$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0621166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over3c1,680$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6517827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1c…a90abacked Under70c1,672$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.15466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0196…d9f9backed Under71c1,641$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4767736.4%28 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over9c1,569$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.974,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over20c1,502$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.941,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48012343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over33c1,494$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6925336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over7c1,339$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.981226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Under76c1,308$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.7410734.6%37 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Under78c1,279$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9411357.5%65 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under76c1,273$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4629740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b42…cac8backed Under74c1,271$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.531346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+108.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over26c1,205$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.393315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under76c1,119$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4712647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over10c1,111$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.339830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dee…bbbcbacked Over48c1,044$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdff0…0ff5backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109364.5%60 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Under76c999.98$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24034231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under51c964.18$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.452,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over26c925.29$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under70c857.31$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3219649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over35c853.85$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8517442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c6…3c8abacked Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over25c812.64$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1610330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over12c808.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9912117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over7c799.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.872722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over37c774.88$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3179149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over33c750$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.58951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over8c749.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over21c749.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3530039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over24c729.17$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe12…728fbacked Over28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007125.4%18 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f8…38b5backed Under77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1615158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under69c689$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5963544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under76c687.42$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over5c666.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.041,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Under76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.899760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over8c649.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-82.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.