TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,683 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x969a…59ddbacked Over11c2,247$247 inWon+$1,999.559247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c2,158$1,592 inLost-$1,592.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over10c1,331$133 inWon+$1,198.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over33c1,000$330 inWon+$6705545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c889.92$651 inLost-$651.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over16c795.26$130 inWon+$665.312,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x351a…04c7backed Over15c500.49$75 inWon+$425.491225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over13c391.27$50 inWon+$341.2711035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…b472backed Over33c309.97$102 inWon+$207.686439.1%25 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c292.1$29 inWon+$262.893,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Over10c240.69$25 inWon+$215.697711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over12c216.67$26 inWon+$190.6723528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under5c210$11 inLost-$10.582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Over67c201.84$136 inWon+$65.849550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over10c200$20 inWon+$1801,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Over37c155$57 inWon+$97.655740.4%23 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3e4…8669backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon+$85.143842.1%16 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+6.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over11c118.05$13 inWon+$105.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over76c114.33$87 inWon+$27.2127466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under23c105.56$24 inLost-$24.4566932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef0…6a53backed Over32c99.96$32 inWon+$67.972711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ee…55dfbacked Over36c83.33$30 inWon+$53.33825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over34c60$20 inWon+$39.65244.2%23 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5238…ba99backed Over37c59.46$22 inWon+$37.4615335.3%54 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…07eabacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon+$34.052532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under68c17.73$12 inLost-$1212667.5%85 W · 41 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.