TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1333…e463backed No78c27,686$21,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,595.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes22c20,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No77c9,000$6,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,930.0640655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked No65c8,920$5,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,810.259440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes24c7,376$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,577.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked No72c6,986$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes21c6,659$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,260.6325244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes41c6,154$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.0323363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes72c4,617$3,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.838960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes23c4,523$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.7136250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c4,423$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No68c3,826$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.832,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d0…5450backed Yes22c3,252$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.562832.1%9 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes60c3,030$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.351,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No77c2,910$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.759752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked No79c2,704$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.521931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c2,687$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c2,216$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes23c2,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.9131728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes37c2,143$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.9117569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes23c2,139$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.522,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed No11c2,083$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.093511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed No11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked No78c1,973$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.764067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No79c1,909$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.4483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes21c1,385$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.4511219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked No12c1,368$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.983619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed No11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No76c1,330$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked Yes22c1,282$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.687919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No12c1,200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14411216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1119825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324a…f1a1backed Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6103946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c983.69$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.073,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No78c976.96$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.633,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No78c943.4$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.2297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0935244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c833.25$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.73,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d0…a616backed No79c808.59$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.796740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes38c621.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.331,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No15c605.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.872,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked No16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Yes22c600$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed No16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes21c550$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No63c529.21$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.416946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes51c504.4$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5365036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…284fbacked Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1912235.2%43 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked No77c445.09$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7236448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6728646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes37c398.6$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes53c390.73$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.771,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f1b…6399backed Yes20c356.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.263542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…77f0backed Yes23c342.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.399315.1%14 W · 79 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes24c308.41$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.991,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed No9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23427637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes37c270.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3617533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked No16c263.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.029221.7%20 W · 72 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Yes41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.58847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes22c242.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.381,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3936631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd500…24b2backed Yes23c210.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.971618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3331132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8111…4c2cbacked Yes22c196.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.921723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked No11c195.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.492250%11 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+389%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No53c191.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes79c176.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.084654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes41c176$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.462,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed No61c164.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No57c154.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4972247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe739…23e0backed Yes22c141.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.331513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No71c140.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.552,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5090…9e15backed Yes23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.436918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked No77c129$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3310270.6%72 W · 30 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa778…878abacked No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes27c110.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4546562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed No79c108.92$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.72744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.714425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.717240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes27c106$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.21,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9224…7807backed Yes23c105.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.496755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Yes22c104.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5515130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee81…df6abacked Yes22c102.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.135736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769319.4%18 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbe0…56eabacked Yes20c97.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6212840.6%52 W · 76 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes66c96.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7525865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a01…6cffbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.246338.1%24 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6517…aa7cbacked Yes23c87.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.56230.6%19 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Yes22c86.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3613736.5%50 W · 87 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No78c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.131,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.