TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c41,865$22,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,518.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under58c15,525$8,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,983.4340655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c15,151$6,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,359.312,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over41c12,600$5,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,48217544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over41c11,743$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,922.91,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under59c10,542$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,269.821,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over55c5,768$3,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.092,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over43c4,651$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.169929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under57c4,500$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5653534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c4,285$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.374,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under5c4,167$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.943026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over70c2,819$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.775251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54c…7f3cbacked Over70c2,713$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.423847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under60c2,647$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.9461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over43c2,543$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.7915441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over42c2,387$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.893,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over41c2,252$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2208748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c1,981$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under37c1,932$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.062,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over43c1,628$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.9110532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c1,550$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under36c1,528$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over61c1,471$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.5416750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4521443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over42c1,400$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.583,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c1,254$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.622,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb5…0499backed Over42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6962352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7930465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed Under60c1,105$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90da…b7e0backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over42c912.66$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over70c785.71$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Over42c598.41$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4112235.2%43 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over43c580.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.9811035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under59c552.04$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over42c509.12$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.291,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over41c505$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.951,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over42c501$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2955248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe020…ff13backed Under63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under57c472.54$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.351,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1237955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over79c447$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.951,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over42c418.29$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8172722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over70c401$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.322058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Over39c399.57$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.748458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a7d…d997backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009737.1%36 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Under58c341.38$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19819553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under61c332$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5234751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over71c300$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c292.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6920340.4%82 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e5…cebbbacked Under57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011458.8%67 W · 47 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+67.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over42c261.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.943,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over42c260.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under61c254$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9427744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over46c248$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21af…e761backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.95650%28 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.568037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.568661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under25c216.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.24,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10869826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…7075backed Over40c189.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.994537.8%17 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under57c186.68$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4142755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over43c184.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4351315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked Over43c171.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d59…7c7dbacked Under58c163.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.91827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over73c150$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ecf…86bcbacked Over71c149.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.58058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over41c149.82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.428945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under58c141.13$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8648937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over42c134.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.281,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccf…cd14backed Under57c129.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9314139.7%56 W · 85 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under56c121.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.31,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2815645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2828149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2814953%79 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over70c114$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over43c113.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9515050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…9491backed Over43c113.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.953429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Over44c113.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.639442.6%40 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfbf…39e1backed Over44c109.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.091963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Over43c101.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9935041.1%144 W · 206 L+1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under56c92.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.961,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under38c84.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x381e…c575backed Over71c78.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.851471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.