TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73bc…46cebacked Over48c36,679$17,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,132.3817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c28,605$15,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,087.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under52c20,690$10,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,758.9777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c13,843$6,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,231.032,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6716947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under52c9,770$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c1,958$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c1,843$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.982,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.991,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54618448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5307941.8%33 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52011545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c971.46$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.864,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under53c827.64$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.5932042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c738$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over47c574.49$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4811552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over45c516.73$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.21,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under53c499.75$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.381,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under52c499.05$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.771,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Under55c454.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+137.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under52c399.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.721,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c347.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.483,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1278…c3dcbacked Over47c336.15$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.516160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over73c296.8$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3220186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under20c280.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.526946.8%126 W · 143 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.512724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13028439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3910549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over47c203.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7129558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over37c190$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.711447.4%54 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under71c176.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0633438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over47c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.251,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a7…a216backed Under66c130.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.133647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Over25c126$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.55127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Under55c113.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.521938.8%85 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1729428.9%85 W · 209 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69cf…aeddbacked Under54c103.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over48c97.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.92,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c94.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under52c89.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9942554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe633…3a32backed Over48c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.523246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over35c73.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.892,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over48c68.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7516344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under51c57.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4166056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027750.9%141 W · 136 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3607…c08bbacked Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1917528%49 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0817240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89cd…d266backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.089041.1%37 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.023450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2623761.2%145 W · 92 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb8…3913backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.241444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1919040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016149.7%80 W · 81 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under53c37.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8848154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over34c37.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Under70c35.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2516535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9b…3b3ebacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dec…a572backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.97444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Under53c29.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99a…1f3ebacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under52c24.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6825857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac5a…5f11backed Over47c23.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.274143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under53c21.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4811554.8%63 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under52c20.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.632158.3%187 W · 134 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.533756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under52c19.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3327663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.130748.2%148 W · 159 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.